Did you back Juventus to beat Napoli in play at 0-1 ?

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jonnyg
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Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Napoli last 18 at home in the league when 0-1 at 20 minutes expired in the first half <


scored in 17/18


7-8-3 only lost 3/18 < hang on as Juve were offered at 8/13 at HT


:idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

In Serie A last season in game where the away teams opened the scoring 0-20 minutes , 79% ended over 2.5 goals and 56% over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 82% :idea: and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 73%

The home teams won 23%, 24% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 53%



GAME PATHWAY

1/66 FT 0-1 > an area you can exploit is backing over 1.5 goals in games that have an early goal :idea:

34/66 > 1-1 14-13-7 <> away teams won 21%

31/66 > 0-2 1-3-27 <> away teams won 87%
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

2015/2016 2014/2015 2013/2014
Games 66 57 64
Over 2.5 79% 77% 63%
Over 3.5 56% 49% 40%
0-1 HT Over 2.5 67% 56% 37%
0-1 HT Away W% 61% 67% 85%
0-1 HT Draw % 17% 11% 11%
0-1 HT Home % 22% 22% 4%
1-1 HT over 2.5 67% 79% 79%
1-1 HT Away W% 13% 26% 21%
1-1 HT Draw % 40% 42% 43%
1-1 HT Home % 47% 32% 36%
Home Win 23% 25% 17%
Draw 24% 26% 23%
Away Win 53% 49% 60%
BTTS YES 82% 79% 62%
Over 1.5FH 73% 68% 57%


above is the opening goal by away team 0-20 data 15/16 14/15 and 13/14 data in Serie A
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

If you backed Juventus at 1-1 < all the data was against you >

Posted on: January 30th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark



In the table below I have added the last 20 games in Serie A where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time game state was 0-1 added to the home fightback ( 1-1 ) in the second half in the 46-70 minutes time band ;

8-8-4 <> the home teams won 40% , 1/0.4 = 6/4 , < lowered expectation of an away win

65% ended over 2.5 goals and 40% ended over 3.5 goals ( 6/4 )

T HT T+1 FT
Napoli Palermo 6 0 1 H66 1 1
Pescara Sass 1 0 1 H56 1 3
Udinese Torino 15 0 1 H60 2 2
Hellas Frosinone 15 0 1 H64 1 2
Napoli Genoa 10 0 1 H51 3 1
Sass Udinese 8 0 1 H64 1 1
Empoli Frosinone 17 0 1 H59 1 2
Milan Udinese 17 0 1 H48 1 1
Lazio Chievo 5 0 1 H66 4 1
Inter Lazio 5 0 1 H61 1 2
Atalanta Lazio 16 0 1 H69 2 1
Torino Fiorentina 10 0 1 H67 3 1
Lazio Milan 4 0 1 H47 3 1
Sass Empoli 18 0 1 H56 3 1
Napoli Torino 14 0 1 H55 2 1
Milan Torino 17 0 1 H49 1 1
Genoa Torino 7 0 1 H69 1 1
Juventus Cagliari 13 0 1 H61 1 1
Napoli Cagliari 18 0 1 H48 3 2
Roma Pescara 14 0 1 H51 1 1
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