ajdal wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2017 3:00 pm
Halliday wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2017 2:47 pm
ajdal wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2017 2:37 pm
Do you know what... 7/2 that it would start was a pretty good bet... sorry mate, I really felt for you there...
I'm sure someone will point out the clues were there, but that was a good value bet in my book.
Agree it was good value . And clearly the best horse in the race .. but as you say the clues were all there in the form book .. it has missed the break on several occasions.
So how SHR could say it would win with such conviction . And have " his biggest bet in nearly three years " . Well it beggars belief .. stick to trading .. hmm
Hey Halliday... with hindsight your input and analysis was spot on, but it's not sporting to kick a man when he's down... you need people with convictions to help move the markets
Just think of all those people who backed Lexington Sky off the boards... they didn't even get a run.
Not hindsight .. stated last night ....too many ifs to make a best bet in nearly three years
"
Last run was in a seller, where on official ratings it had 19lb ( plus its riders claim ) in hand of its nearest rival, which like the rest of the field was an out of form horse.Like the previous poster said it drifted in the betting before the off, owing to the fact that it had been slowly away in its previous races . It broke well and won easily .
There was no bid for it at the subsequent auction, but clearly trainer Richard Hannon wanted to move the horse on, as it was entered in next weeks Tatts Auntumn sales.
Looks like it's been sold privately as it is now with Scott Dixon .Rated 83, but never going to win off that mark, hence it running in a claimer.
On its best form entitled to be favourite,and at 3.00 one could argue that it represents value .. but it doesn't have anywhere near as much in hand on official ratings against some more in form rivals ...At least 2 of which you could make a case out for .. and if it fluffs it's lines at the start ...
Could win easily but too many "ifs " to be confident either way
Certainly wouldn't be brave( or naive ) enough like SHR to say it "will win " and can't see it starting at Evens either."
