Can't find a sensible way into any of these. I may try some speculative stuff but I just can't get excited about these. Quite a few matches are priced around 2.5 goals so maybe the odd match can throw up a lot of goals and there could be some value in that?
I can't price these matches very well, so can't really offer any insight in these.
International friendlies
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
It`s hard work but million times better then horses even on friendlies.
-
CaerMyrddin
- Posts: 1271
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am
I simply avoid these matches, they are much harder to price.
Just stumbled into this, it has been taken a few minutes ago, 10' after second half start and the game is still 0-0. wtf?
Just stumbled into this, it has been taken a few minutes ago, 10' after second half start and the game is still 0-0. wtf?
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
it`s only my opinion ofc...but, would you give up your strategys for free? one thing I can tell you that if you wake up at 7am and select 176 markets available on football matches for example like today and you search the football ratings ( stats and news)you can`t go wrong as long you stick with the correct match ratings. The overroll target is 0.025% to 0.5% over ?????K recycled over several markets.
-
CaerMyrddin
- Posts: 1271
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am
Tipically, in markets that I know in deep detail I try to go for bigger % and it surprises me you dont?
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
w e are talking about football or horses?
I dont need to increase % in detailed markets. I am talking about overroll targets, you must take count of losses as well. I place always the same ammount of money or very close, my target profit/loss is always the same or very close. what changes is the selection of what odds to trade on and how many ticks to go for.
I dont need to increase % in detailed markets. I am talking about overroll targets, you must take count of losses as well. I place always the same ammount of money or very close, my target profit/loss is always the same or very close. what changes is the selection of what odds to trade on and how many ticks to go for.
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
I dont usually follow matches in the 2nd half.CaerMyrddin wrote:I simply avoid these matches, they are much harder to price.
Just stumbled into this, it has been taken a few minutes ago, 10' after second half start and the game is still 0-0. wtf?
Thank you for that I backed the draw on 2.2 5 minutes ago. the match is almost over but I m going to green up avoiding surprises
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
On england vs france match for example you must entry the market few hours b4. I set an automation to take 2.34 lay bet on england to win whenever the odds hit 2.3 2.34. Now i can exit on 2.52. The other thing i just placed £1000 on lay 2.5 3.25 3.3 i got 2 matched to make an extra £10 if 2.5 will be taking as well but, im happy to close on 2.52 to make extra £7.5. I am going to follow the match in play by placing a lay bet on the draw and a small back bet on france and just placing some bets on Correct score to exit on 1st half break.Exacta wrote:Can you make a suggestion for the second set of matches that start in 15 minutes at 20:00 GMT?
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
On portugal vs Spain I got one back bet matched on 2.7 for spain to win, If the odds will go against me I will close my position on 2.74 2.76 but there is some resistence on 2.64 at the moment I will place an other automation bet on 2.76 2.8 just in case but i think once that 4k on 2.64 will be matched the odds will go on 2.52 2.56. If my prediction is wrong I will carry on in play anyway with the in play strategy.giulio2010 wrote:On england vs france match for example you must entry the market few hours b4. I set an automation to take 2.34 lay bet on england to win whenever the odds hit 2.3 2.34. Now i can exit on 2.52. The other thing i just placed £1000 on lay 2.5 3.25 3.3 i got 2 matched to make an extra £10 if 2.5 will be taking as well but, im happy to close on 2.52 to make extra £7.5. I am going to follow the match in play by placing a lay bet on the draw and a small back bet on france and just placing some bets on Correct score to exit on 1st half break.Exacta wrote:Can you make a suggestion for the second set of matches that start in 15 minutes at 20:00 GMT?
-
CaerMyrddin
- Posts: 1271
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am
Spain hit the wall hard against us. Didn't trade this one, just sit back and watched what turned out to be a very interesting match.
It would be very interesting to know what happenned in that Albanian match, anyone from there? For some moments I thought the international friendly match fix scandal was on
@Euler, I was told by some of my teachers to have a 'Laplacian' way of thinking. Despite the rivalry between the suiss and the french man, it was nice to see your post on the blog and I apologize there are unfinished businness between them?
It would be very interesting to know what happenned in that Albanian match, anyone from there? For some moments I thought the international friendly match fix scandal was on
@Euler, I was told by some of my teachers to have a 'Laplacian' way of thinking. Despite the rivalry between the suiss and the french man, it was nice to see your post on the blog and I apologize there are unfinished businness between them?
No problem, you are welcome.Thank you for that I backed the draw on 2.2 5 minutes ago. the match is almost over but I m going to green up avoiding surprises
-
giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
I have no idea what happened to that match. If I had a bit more courage I would back £2000 on the draw but, isnt my style. The draw was 2.2 on the 83rd minute of the match. I felt like god yesterday, I made 100% the right prediction on every single market i have traded on . The best 1 was on, Italy21 Vs turkey21 44ticks profit, Russia vs Belguim 23ticks profit, England vs France 132 ticks profit, Portugal vs Spain with 23 ticks profit . I have to keep my feet down, there will be losses ofc ,the good thing is that I am far ahead of my target which is good. Caermyrddin thank you again for yesterday to highlight the Albania vs Macedonia match...