ICC World Cup - England and Wales 2019
There have been some pretty big swings in the CMM market in past half hour or so, but no weather forecast I can see online has changed from predominantly rain for Southampton tomorrow.
- firlandsfarm
- Posts: 3317
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am
Yeah he almost took me out as well … I've not traded anything seriously before but I am a fan of international cricket so thought I would have a look. I have no idea if I'm doing it right but at the moment I'm tending to scalp the first innings and trade the second by the position of the game … it's been working OK up to now … started like a rollercoaster but am getting into it a bit better now …
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That’s an interesting chart thank you. My instinct says that if you blindly applied this implied chance at the innings break vs the price of the team first to bat, any apparent discrepancy (possibly interpreted as value) would likely be attributed to other factors being priced in and ultimately would not be a profitable strategy long term.
Taking it one step further, I’m thinking you could turn it into a profitable strategy by adding some point of reference. The first thing that comes to mind is using the BSP to determine the relative implied chance of each team immediately before the match commences. Any thoughts?
- firlandsfarm
- Posts: 3317
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am
What happens with Innings runs markets if the innings is shortened? Is there some form of scaling down or is it just tough!
The innings runs mkt is void, if 20 overs are not bowled.
Is it possible to display diferent mkts on a ladder screen ?
I have opened 2 instances of BA in this example, and just docked one .. but, if u place a bet on the undocked one, it hides itself.
Is there a better way ?
Thx
I have opened 2 instances of BA in this example, and just docked one .. but, if u place a bet on the undocked one, it hides itself.
Is there a better way ?
Thx
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I am not sure they get back on .. heavily on NO game