Australian Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Race 2 Wodonga, I'm backing Braeburn, and laying Koscina.

Hoping not to experiance maxium pain!
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

The play for race 3 Wodonga would be to dutch bet Tuesday Cabinet, River mist, or lay singles.

I think Tuesday Cabinet will be the best backed runner.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Art Collection, looks a standout on form, might SP around 1.70, 1.75 mark.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I'm skipping race 5 Wodonga, Dogan's rise might start fav.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I want to play Isa Rocket, Wodonga race 6, might wait for a better price then the current 2.80 on offer, could see some money for Murrawee.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Wodonga race 7 Taiken Warrior looks like a great back to lay, trade around 2.5 atm, expecting a little drift then some solid support. Should go straight to the front.

The play would to be to off the the bet between 2.0 and 1,8.

I'm win betting.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Suprised by the early money in the last at Wodonga for power dream, I thought it would drift, and the money would be for Pick up the Pieces.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I left a lot of profits on the table today.

Just by not laying my selections I thought would drift, could have layed them on the way up, creating a free bet.Then backed to lay half the profits and let the rest run as a bet.Instead of waiting for a better price to back them.

I just need to readjust my strategy.
eightbo
Posts: 2263
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 8:19 pm

spreadbetting wrote:
Sat Sep 07, 2019 1:42 pm
eightbo wrote:
Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:40 am
Decent liquidity at MV tonight
Was there decent liquidity all over last night I woke up to decent results from my bots . Just shy of a grand and lots of decent results rather than one big win too so that usually means the markets were liquid.
Only Moonee Valley & some Randwick markets were noticeable. Eagle Farm was on the thin side most markets.
Nothing else stood out to me from recall.
eightbo
Posts: 2263
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 8:19 pm

TipTopTrader wrote:
Mon Sep 09, 2019 8:45 am
I left a lot of profits on the table today.

Just by not laying my selections I thought would drift, could have layed them on the way up, creating a free bet.Then backed to lay half the profits and let the rest run as a bet.Instead of waiting for a better price to back them.

I just need to readjust my strategy.
I'd imagine it's pretty tricky as just one person to consistently out-predict the crowd if you're making your mind up before the money arrives.

Keep track of every prediction you're making if you're not already and plot some prices for the selections from early market through to post.
More data [showing positive expectancy] should result in more confidence, helping you to pull the trigger in future.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Backing a roughie Pakenham race 5 no 5 Stephens green, I'm not that good with predicting the longer priced horse. I will have watch the market.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

eightbo wrote:
Mon Sep 09, 2019 6:17 pm
TipTopTrader wrote:
Mon Sep 09, 2019 8:45 am
I left a lot of profits on the table today.

Just by not laying my selections I thought would drift, could have layed them on the way up, creating a free bet.Then backed to lay half the profits and let the rest run as a bet.Instead of waiting for a better price to back them.

I just need to readjust my strategy.
I'd imagine it's pretty tricky as just one person to consistently out-predict the crowd if you're making your mind up before the money arrives.

Keep track of every prediction you're making if you're not already and plot some prices for the selections from early market through to post.
More data [showing positive expectancy] should result in more confidence, helping you to pull the trigger in future.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I agree with what you're saying,

I just have a habit of having the blinkers on so to speak, not thinking of the best way to make the most profit out of a certain situation.
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Pakenham race 9 Il divo, looks like a great back to lay :D shop carefully traders!!!
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Interesting ride, put that one down as raced below expectations.
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