Football trading strategies

[JustLukeYou]

Luke, your thought processes and approach are all over the shop. You just need to go back to basics and listen to some of the advice that you are being given.

Thanks Euler. What is the first peice of advice do you think I have missed and need to go back to?

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Again Derek, you are not helping. Say something constructive or stay out of it. You are really not helping. Comes across as childish.

[Derek27]

Guys, my intension was to share stratergies, not the comments some of you are doing on here. If u cant have a normal confersation or share something helpfull, rather dont post annything.

Mickey, I can only apologise for the diversion. This is how threads get hijacked...

Me too.

[mickey007]

No problem gents, maybe you guys can kick of with a suggestion of a football strategy. I already shared mine.

[JustLukeYou]

No problem gents, maybe you guys can kick of with a suggestion of a football strategy. I already shared mine.

If there are a few goals at half time and both teams are still attacking back the correct score for both teams to score a goal. Tonight Algeria were beating Colombia 2-0 at half time. I backed 3-1. Algeria scored to make it 3-0 and I traded out for 80% profit.

[jimibt]

No problem gents, maybe you guys can kick of with a suggestion of a football strategy. I already shared mine.

If there are a few goals at half time and both teams are still attacking back the correct score for both teams to score a goal. Tonight Algeria were beating Colombia 2-0 at half time. I backed 3-1. Algeria scored to make it 3-0 and I traded out for 80% profit.

fck -i PROMISED myself that i was LazyHandLuke free until next week - HOWEVER!!

PLEASE (and don't come back and ask how), look at markets (in football) that represent your thoughts (OU4.5 anyone??). try and look/review options that cover your thinking regards goal abundance. Conversely, if you think it's a 0-0 draw, just target OU0.5/OU1.5 (should conditions look correct).

I'm a patient guy, but even I am now getting hit with the bullets of fatigue -just listen, analyse and participate (followed by apres analysis).

Right, don't have an ego, but this is draining

[JustLukeYou]

No problem gents, maybe you guys can kick of with a suggestion of a football strategy. I already shared mine.

If there are a few goals at half time and both teams are still attacking back the correct score for both teams to score a goal. Tonight Algeria were beating Colombia 2-0 at half time. I backed 3-1. Algeria scored to make it 3-0 and I traded out for 80% profit.

fck -i PROMISED myself that i was LazyHandLuke free until next week - HOWEVER!!

PLEASE (and don't come back and ask how), look at markets (in football) that represent your thoughts (OU4.5 anyone??). try and look/review options that cover your thinking regards goal abundance. Conversely, if you think it's a 0-0 draw, just target OU0.5/OU1.5 (should conditions look correct).

I'm a patient guy, but even I am now getting hit with the bullets of fatigue -just listen, analyse and participate (followed by apres analysis).

Right, don't have an ego, but this is draining

Yeah sorry, I did think there was a lot of value in the trade. It was 8.5 where as either team to score 1 goal each was around 4. Had to snap up 8.5.

[jimibt]

If there are a few goals at half time and both teams are still attacking back the correct score for both teams to score a goal. Tonight Algeria were beating Colombia 2-0 at half time. I backed 3-1. Algeria scored to make it 3-0 and I traded out for 80% profit.

fck -i PROMISED myself that i was LazyHandLuke free until next week - HOWEVER!!

PLEASE (and don't come back and ask how), look at markets (in football) that represent your thoughts (OU4.5 anyone??). try and look/review options that cover your thinking regards goal abundance. Conversely, if you think it's a 0-0 draw, just target OU0.5/OU1.5 (should conditions look correct).

I'm a patient guy, but even I am now getting hit with the bullets of fatigue -just listen, analyse and participate (followed by apres analysis).

Right, don't have an ego, but this is draining

Yeah sorry, I did think there was a lot of value in the trade. It was 8.5 where as either team to score 1 goal each was around 4. Had to snap up 8.5.

final dis-spirited comment -why?? i mean why is an ABSOLUTE (score 3-1) worth more value than an OU market (in your view)?? if it's purely because the odds were higher (WAY higher), then it consolidates some of my current thinking about all of this.

[JustLukeYou]

fck -i PROMISED myself that i was LazyHandLuke free until next week - HOWEVER!!

PLEASE (and don't come back and ask how), look at markets (in football) that represent your thoughts (OU4.5 anyone??). try and look/review options that cover your thinking regards goal abundance. Conversely, if you think it's a 0-0 draw, just target OU0.5/OU1.5 (should conditions look correct).

I'm a patient guy, but even I am now getting hit with the bullets of fatigue -just listen, analyse and participate (followed by apres analysis).

Right, don't have an ego, but this is draining

Yeah sorry, I did think there was a lot of value in the trade. It was 8.5 where as either team to score 1 goal each was around 4. Had to snap up 8.5.

final dis-spirited comment -why?? i mean why is an ABSOLUTE (score 3-1) worth more value than an OU market (in your view)?? if it's purely because the odds were higher (WAY higher), then it consolidates some of my current thinking about all of this.

I see, yes I was thinking this myself but both teams were attacking and looking like they both score so I could see more value in backing it.

[jimibt]

I see, yes I was thinking this myself but both teams were attacking and looking like they both score so I could see more value in backing it.

so why back an absolute (one sided) scoreline if you felt that BOTH teams could score?? Surely that must have been at odds with your gut feel -no?

also, this is where experience would have guided you to an OU market - anywayz...

[JustLukeYou]

I see, yes I was thinking this myself but both teams were attacking and looking like they both score so I could see more value in backing it.

so why back an absolute (one sided) scoreline if you felt that BOTH teams could score?? Surely that must have been at odds with your gut feel -no?

If I backed both teams to score I wouldn't have made a profit. If I backed over 3 goals the profit would have been less. The 8.5 for 3-1 seemed great value.

[jimibt]

I see, yes I was thinking this myself but both teams were attacking and looking like they both score so I could see more value in backing it.

so why back an absolute (one sided) scoreline if you felt that BOTH teams could score?? Surely that must have been at odds with your gut feel -no?

If I backed both teams to score I wouldn't have made a profit. If I backed over 3 goals the profit would have been less. The 8.5 for 3-1 seemed great value.

.. so the final score was 3-0, correct ?? (i'm struggling slightly as you'd said earlier that you thought BOTH teams would score)??

[JustLukeYou]

I thought either team could score. Both teams were attacking well.

[Euler]

You are having a wild punt, not trading. There is a world of difference.

[JustLukeYou]

You are having a wild punt, not trading. There is a world of difference.

I'm confused, why was I having a wild punt?

[Euler]

What was your trading plan? In terms of achieve a positive expectancy?