General Election 2019 (UK)

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
Post Reply
sa7med
Posts: 800
Joined: Thu May 18, 2017 8:01 am

ShaunWhite wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 2:46 pm
ShaunWhite wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:15 am
The popular illusion is that bright people are Tory and those less fortunate are Labour but the stats show that the higher the level of education, the less right wing people are.
Not right to make a statement without a citation...Screenshot_9.png
Not that I disagree, but that's not really a citation. More like some colours arranged inside a rectangle without an actual source :)
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5919
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

sa7med wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 2:52 pm
ShaunWhite wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 2:46 pm
ShaunWhite wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:15 am
The popular illusion is that bright people are Tory and those less fortunate are Labour but the stats show that the higher the level of education, the less right wing people are.
Not right to make a statement without a citation...Screenshot_9.png
Not that I disagree, but that's not really a citation. More like some colours arranged inside a rectangle without an actual source :)
Wonder how many of those are meaningless arts degrees :P
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10496
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

sa7med wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 2:52 pm
Not that I disagree, but that's not really a citation. More like some colours arranged inside a rectangle without an actual source :)
YouGov. But they're all the same. It's not intellectual snobbery either, I failed my A-Levels.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10496
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Naffman wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 2:58 pm
Wonder how many of those are meaningless arts degrees :P
I've no idea but a degree proves a capacity to collate information and to draw approprate conclusions from it, the subject is fairly irrelevent.
Screenshot_10.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
IanG
Posts: 13
Joined: Mon Oct 28, 2019 4:43 pm

Hi Guys

Reminder if you're involved in the result don't trade. The real question here is that the
Tories are a short favourite. Is it a domination strategy or lay the favourite?


Edit: Maybe lay the draw?
Last edited by IanG on Wed Dec 11, 2019 3:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26427
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

I've been watching a lot of pundits and it's sort of amusing to see the bias leak through their predictions, summaries and writings.

Must be the hardest market to keep emotion in check.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10496
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 3:34 pm
I've been watching a lot of pundits and it's sort of amusing to see the bias leak through their predictions, summaries and writings.

Must be the hardest market to keep emotion in check.
The media's stock-in-trade is shock, jeopardy and tension. Saying it's getting close makes people tune in. Not really bias just doing their expected hype-job. They'd be doing the same if it was the other way round.
Seems like an undisputed Tory win to me. +40?
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26427
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Was talking more about betting pundits than the media. But I despair at the lack of real debate and discussion during elections. But I can't pretend to know what the answer is.

I liked the question time format as it got rid of the comedy of the debates, which I thought were useless.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10496
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:32 pm
Was talking more about betting pundits than the media. But I despair at the lack of real debate and discussion during elections. But I can't pretend to know what the answer is.

I liked the question time format as it got rid of the comedy of the debates, which I thought were useless.
Being a one topic election has definately spoilt the deeper debate. All the talk is about what Labour leavers will do, but Tory remainers are a question mark too. Do they vote to leave Europe permanently, or choose to stomach Corbyn for a few years and go for the slim chance of staying in via ref2. Labour leavers should probably vote Labour to get what they want (but are unlikely to), it's not like Labour are trying to stop it, they just want a confirmation.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10496
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:32 pm
Was talking more about betting pundits
That's interesting, I hadn't even thought of looking at politics tipsters.

What outcome would you prefer to draw in the office sweepstake?
User avatar
Dallas
Posts: 23547
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

I'm just reading the rules/laws if to finish off this 3.5 barmy years we've had what would happen if the Tory's got a majority but Boris lost his seat.

Surprising to me it appears "there's no constitutional bar to the PM not being a member of either House of Parliament".
It does go onto say that in reality in this day and age someone in a safe seat will immediately be stood down and a by-election triggered with Boris catapultied in!

Nothing would really surprise me anymore and no matter what happens tomorrow I'm fully expected some form of crazy twist or turn before this week ends.
User avatar
Dallas
Posts: 23547
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Then again knowing Boris he may just use the consitution in his favour and remain PM while being answerable to no one but the Tory members
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I wonder if Boris could continue to run the country as PM from prison.
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26427
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Best tweet of the night :lol:
The good news is that whatever the result tomorrow we'll all accept it and move on.
dragontrades
Posts: 1248
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 11:22 pm

Prices getting tasty again
Post Reply

Return to “Political betting & arguing”