Mike Cruickshank's "Momentum system"
So, are you basically dutching the 1-0 and 0-1, and laying the 0-0 as a cumulative back to lay?
I tried to look online for a quick calculator but the only thing I could find was a sequential lay calculator.
https://matchedbettingblog.com/sequenti ... hb4HmT7TIU
I tried to look online for a quick calculator but the only thing I could find was a sequential lay calculator.
https://matchedbettingblog.com/sequenti ... hb4HmT7TIU
- ilovepizza82
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Nah, thats not it mate.15212017 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2020 9:56 am.. the only thing I could find was a sequential lay calculator.
https://matchedbettingblog.com/sequenti ... hb4HmT7TIU
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Isnt there a big problem with this strategy being you need to drip the back 0-0 which is difficult if BF forget to suspend/unsuspend the market correctly which they often do on even big games leaving you up a river with no raft or paddle ?
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I got the system seemed like a sound strategy and have made profits so far on small testing liabilities.
Had one loss so far which was tonight italian cup game as the odds changed ridicilously in last 20 mins or so.
Lay odds of 0-0 13.5 went to 11 0-1 came in from 19 to 14 and 1-0 was pretty much the same but this mean the 0-0 lay was costing more than the 0-1 made coming in so there was an imbalance. Might have worked out if the goal came later in the first half did have a small green at some point.
It works but its small and consistant profits rather than big booms and I like the consistency when the games right.
Had one loss so far which was tonight italian cup game as the odds changed ridicilously in last 20 mins or so.
Lay odds of 0-0 13.5 went to 11 0-1 came in from 19 to 14 and 1-0 was pretty much the same but this mean the 0-0 lay was costing more than the 0-1 made coming in so there was an imbalance. Might have worked out if the goal came later in the first half did have a small green at some point.
It works but its small and consistant profits rather than big booms and I like the consistency when the games right.
- ilovepizza82
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Thanks for the input !Freeman229 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2020 11:24 pmI got the system seemed like a sound strategy and have made profits so far on small testing liabilities.
Had one loss so far which was tonight italian cup game as the odds changed ridicilously in last 20 mins or so.
Lay odds of 0-0 13.5 went to 11 0-1 came in from 19 to 14 and 1-0 was pretty much the same but this mean the 0-0 lay was costing more than the 0-1 made coming in so there was an imbalance. Might have worked out if the goal came later in the first half did have a small green at some point.
It works but its small and consistant profits rather than big booms and I like the consistency when the games right.
What were the Match odds like ? Do you remember ?
- wearthefoxhat
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It doesnt work anymore, probably did back when LTD worked perfectly.
The odds decay drop on 1-0 or 0-1 is not enough to get out with equal profit and cover the loss on 0-0 because the odds are too high to start with etc.
The odds decay drop on 1-0 or 0-1 is not enough to get out with equal profit and cover the loss on 0-0 because the odds are too high to start with etc.
- wearthefoxhat
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No idea if this game is a "Momentum" qualifier, but the odds for the 0-0 is 12.00, within range of the sweet spot.
Set up; Max Liability of £100
Lay Liability 87% of 0-0 scoreline @ 12.00 Edited
Back Dutch of 13% of 1-0, 0-1 scorelines as available. Edited
Drip Backing of 0-0 up to HT to cover 9% of total liability
0.36--> (4%) @ 10.00
1.08 --> (12%) @ 8.20
1.62 --> (18%) @ 6.80
2.70--> (30%) @ 5.60
3.24 --> (36%) @ 4.60
If goal scored by either team,trade out profits before a quick 2nd goal is scored.
If 0-0 @ HT, trade out the original set up, collect 0-0 Back bets. Take the Loss
Set up; Max Liability of £100
Lay Liability 87% of 0-0 scoreline @ 12.00 Edited
Back Dutch of 13% of 1-0, 0-1 scorelines as available. Edited
Drip Backing of 0-0 up to HT to cover 9% of total liability
0.36--> (4%) @ 10.00
1.08 --> (12%) @ 8.20
1.62 --> (18%) @ 6.80
2.70--> (30%) @ 5.60
3.24 --> (36%) @ 4.60
If goal scored by either team,trade out profits before a quick 2nd goal is scored.
If 0-0 @ HT, trade out the original set up, collect 0-0 Back bets. Take the Loss
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Last edited by wearthefoxhat on Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- ilovepizza82
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Why not 13% ?wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:47 pm
Back Dutch of 23% of 1-0, 0-1 scorelines as available.
According to the data we got from screenshots it should be 13% to make it work...
- wearthefoxhat
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Oops,ilovepizza82 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:55 pmWhy not 13% ?wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:47 pm
Back Dutch of 23% of 1-0, 0-1 scorelines as available.
According to the data we got from screenshots it should be 13% to make it work...

- wearthefoxhat
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Sheff Utd v West Ham
The 1-0 correct score has dropped to 7.60 Pre-off (from 8.20) A few lumpy bets going in...
The 1-0 correct score has dropped to 7.60 Pre-off (from 8.20) A few lumpy bets going in...
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- ilovepizza82
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I like your style Mr.Fox.wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:46 pmSheff Utd v West Ham
The 1-0 correct score has dropped to 7.60 Pre-off (from 8.20) A few lumpy bets going in...
1-0CS.GIF
I like that kind of attitude of people who see opportunities in problems. Not people who see problems in opportunities.
Last edited by ilovepizza82 on Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
The unders have dropped on this game so prices have to adjust accordingly, some lower scorelines get a bit more likely. Can be a volatile price range, just below 10s.wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:46 pmSheff Utd v West Ham
The 1-0 correct score has dropped to 7.60 Pre-off (from 8.20) A few lumpy bets going in...