Australian racing

The sport of kings.
Post Reply
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Aarondewit wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 3:59 am
PDC wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 3:56 am
The difference between how the main NSW track (Rosehill) trades compared to the main VIC track (Caulfield) still amazes me. It is like night and day.
Probably because most traders aren't able to trade in NSW.
If most people are either backing or laying that might explain why the markets more stable.
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:32 am
what exactly is the difference between caulfield and rosehill?
Some of the differences are the volume of money sat in the market, which imo at Caulfield is much more manipulation, though Rosehill is targeted at times. The money doesn't really want to be matched but instead control the way the price moves.

Another big difference is the make up of the market and how your orders are matched. This is linked in with the above point as well.

I will pop up a couple of screen shots to show what I mean over the next few races at these tracks.
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

Agree both Rosehill and Caulfield very stable but wouldnt know a big difference between the two
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:37 am
Agree both Rosehill and Caulfield very stable but wouldnt know a big difference between the two
You don't notice a difference in how money is matched between the two and how the unmatched money on the ladder behaves?

I am talking about the front of the book here.

Watch the large volumes of unmatched money, particularly on the favourite but any of the 4 figure bundles of cash in the last 30 seconds before the off and then very shortly before the off.

There is a good clue there in what is happening in the market.
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

right much more unmatched at Caulfield, doing better there actually
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:40 am
right much more unmatched at Caulfield, doing better there actually
But watch that unmatched money, how it moves on the ladder in general, how it behaves close to the off, take a large lump out of it and look at your individual matched bets, watch how it reacts to when you take a lump out of it, compare it between the 2 tracks. The are similarities but also differences.
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

usually just take a price if there is little left, otherwise offer my own.
take from a large amount 98% of the time poor value?
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I have been sitting on my hands since race 2 at Caulfield When I backed a loser. Still really keen Rulership in the race 7 Caulfield and will be backing to lay some of my stake as well.
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:55 am
take from a large amount 98% of the time poor value?
Don't understand your post? If you could type in complete sentences it would help, always feel like I am doing a cryptic crossword trying to decipher you posts most of the time ;)
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

you checked out the betmover software? they have fantastic stats and app solely fosued for back to lay inrunning
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

PDC wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 5:00 am
rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:55 am
take from a large amount 98% of the time poor value?
Don't understand your post? If you could type in complete sentences it would help, always feel like I am doing a cryptic crossword trying to decipher you posts most of the time ;)
I mean if there is a large amount offered at a price more often than not you should get a better one asking for it
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

Agreed, I offer almost all of the time tbh.
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

PDC wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:45 am
rik wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 4:40 am
right much more unmatched at Caulfield, doing better there actually
But watch that unmatched money, how it moves on the ladder in general, how it behaves close to the off, take a large lump out of it and look at your individual matched bets, watch how it reacts to when you take a lump out of it, compare it between the 2 tracks. The are similarities but also differences.
Images taken seconds apart in the Group 1 at Caulfield, spot the differences, no prizes I am afraid:

Now you see it now you dont.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

Granted, one was a Listed race and one was a Group 1 and the prices on the favs are quite different but that is just what happened to be the next races but they still illustrate my points.

Guess which is Rosehill and which is Caulfield (both taken at roughly the same time out from post):

Rosehill v Caulfield.png
Which is going to be easier to get your orders through the market rapidly?
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

left rosehill, right caulfield
Post Reply

Return to “Trading Horse racing”