Coronavirus - A pale horse,4 men and ....beer

A place to discuss anything.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

peachflame wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:10 pm
Is this the end of the road for UK greyhound racing?
Not if two people can organise it, or five from the same household. :lol:
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

superfrank wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:03 pm
Why the Coronavirus Has Been So Successful
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/arc ... us/608338/
Since the start of the pandemic, the virus hasn’t changed in any obviously important ways. It’s mutating in the way that all viruses do. But of the 100-plus mutations that have been documented, none has risen to dominance, which suggests that none is especially important. “The virus has been remarkably stable given how much transmission we’ve seen,” says Lisa Gralinski of the University of North Carolina. “That makes sense, because there’s no evolutionary pressure on the virus to transmit better. It’s doing a great job of spreading around the world right now.”[/quote]
Thats something that leapt into my head a few days ago. Evolution you'd think will sustain the virus, it's already done a great job of emerging and surviving.
But being enough of a threat to mobilise humanity against you.
Thats a baaaad idea!!
marketraisen
Posts: 98
Joined: Sat Oct 20, 2018 3:41 am

Derek27 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:53 pm
Are the number of people dying of flu increasing on an exponential scale?
Are the number of people dying from covid-19 increasing at an exponential scale? You might want to inform the WHO organisation of your findings.
ShaunWhite wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:47 pm
You said the reaction was unnecessary. If you're right that means those doing it either have something to gain or have been deceived by people that have something to gain.
I'm at a loss as to the reasoning for now, though we will find out in time, technically I guess you could say its conspiratorial for me or anyone to suggest something has been done for malevolent reasons but then whether or not thats a negative thought process depends on your own interpretation of the word. Personally all the normal connotations 'conspiracy' conjures doesnt put me off questioning things ie somebody saying 'well if you believe X then obviously you must believe Y and therefore X is discredited'.

Major crimes have been committed against populations throughout history in the name of power-grabs or more likely in this case asset-grabs while the price of everything is deflated.


Also goodbye to the greyhound racing I guess (!)
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Derek27
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marketraisen wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:43 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:53 pm
Are the number of people dying of flu increasing on an exponential scale?
Are the number of people dying from covid-19 increasing at an exponential scale? You might want to inform the WHO organisation of your findings.
What planet are you living on marketraisen?

At least you're safe from Covid-19.
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Ethanol
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marketraisen wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:43 pm
Are the number of people dying from covid-19 increasing at an exponential scale? You might want to inform the WHO organisation of your findings.
Check the chart at the top of this page. It certainly isn't increasing in a linear fashion:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... eath-toll/

Also, look at the same "Total Deaths" chart (orange) for Italy and the UK.
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ShaunWhite
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Ethanol wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:48 pm
marketraisen wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:43 pm
Are the number of people dying from covid-19 increasing at an exponential scale? You might want to inform the WHO organisation of your findings.
Check the chart at the top of this page. It certainly isn't increasing in a linear fashion:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... eath-toll/

Also, look at the same "Total Deaths" chart (orange) for Italy and the UK.
It was always going to be exponential. Viruses or even the spread of gossip are exponential funtions. And because of that, altering the transmission rate has a massive possitive (or negative) affect on future outcome. This is aincient maths so not up for dispute, it was the basis of the calculation of how many messengers each Roman messenger needed to pass news onto, to get information across the Empire in a reasonable time. Having your own opinions is fine, but if you've got your own maths you either need a Nobel prize or a maths lesson.

I'll assume the later, -> https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-do ... us-spread/
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Derek27
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Those Belfast doctors and nurses who gave up their free time after a fuck knows how many hours shift, to film an appeal to stay at home, if that doesn't get the message home I don't know what will.
CallumPerry
Posts: 575
Joined: Wed Apr 19, 2017 5:12 pm

Technically you're right, it's not an exponential curve (Well it is at the moment) but it will become a sigmoid curve. Pot-aye-toe, po-tat-oh I hear you say but if you want a good conspiracy theory...

A logistic function or logistic curve is a common "S" shape (sigmoid curve), with equation: where. = the natural logarithm base (also known as Euler's number), = the -value of the sigmoid's midpoint, = ...

Euler is behind it all. Peter is the virus. Peter doesn't wash his hands, pass it on.

In all seriousness, hope you are all safe, healthy and staying indoors!
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

I'd be pretty excited if my bank had grown daily like this since 5th March - any ideas where I might be by the end of the month or three months?

1,2,3,5,6,8,10,11,21,35,55,71,104,144,177,233,281,335
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wearthefoxhat
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We all have choices....

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megarain
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Contact:

Son went thru Heathrow last night. (leaving)

Place was pretty deserted, but the plane 75% full of oldies trying to get back to a foreign country.

Son is super fit, 20 yr old. He coughed ... and immediately got moved to a row of 3 seats by himself.

He thinks he had the virus at University, maybe 3 weeks ago, as his mates had it .. but was never tested. Just had a slight temp for 6
days, and then fully recovered.

Def an Advantage Play.

//

On arriving at foreign country, plane boarded by testers with Hazmat suits. Unclear if they will quarantine everyone, or just those who they test (or will they test everyone ?) .. awaiting news.

//

Passed temperature tests, and allowed to catch another internal flight.
Last edited by megarain on Tue Mar 24, 2020 10:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
invisiblelayer
Posts: 256
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2010 7:08 pm

Very confusing messages pumped out, last night they said only key workers to go to work only to delete it across all social media platforms and then change to you can go to work! That's why loads carrying on per normal today even though clearly not key workers. Crazy
https://twitter.com/ZombieJohnsus/statu ... 23495?s=09
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Jukebox wrote:
Tue Mar 24, 2020 9:11 am
I'd be pretty excited if my bank had grown daily like this since 5th March - any ideas where I might be by the end of the month or three months?

1,2,3,5,6,8,10,11,21,35,55,71,104,144,177,233,281,335
Stop trading as soon as it reaches it's peak. ;)
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