Back on 1.01

A place to discuss anything.
FabioC13
Posts: 27
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2020 10:47 am

Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 2:09 pm
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:28 pm
Hi again guys, thanks to everyone who spent time to answer at my stupid question.
What I would say is that in almost every football match I noticed the same as I attached, so I suppose it means on football is a profitable strategy? Or not? I would to talk about football trading, no tennis or horses, thanks

F.
It's unlikely you'll find a profitable strategy by simply laying every market in a particular sport at 1.01 or any other price. With a bit of refinement regarding selecting the criteria and perhaps closing some or all of the trade, there can be profitable strategies around laying at a low price.
Ok, we assume that is not profitable, but why they do that? Have you seen my attached images? You find the same in every football match almost, so my question is still the same, what are they doing? Just a lay? Or there's a strategy?
Thanks
F.
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Kai
Posts: 7179
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Well, it was only a matter of time before someone discovered my fatfinger strategy.

Back to the drawing board I guess.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 2:30 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 2:09 pm
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:28 pm
Hi again guys, thanks to everyone who spent time to answer at my stupid question.
What I would say is that in almost every football match I noticed the same as I attached, so I suppose it means on football is a profitable strategy? Or not? I would to talk about football trading, no tennis or horses, thanks

F.
It's unlikely you'll find a profitable strategy by simply laying every market in a particular sport at 1.01 or any other price. With a bit of refinement regarding selecting the criteria and perhaps closing some or all of the trade, there can be profitable strategies around laying at a low price.
Ok, we assume that is not profitable, but why they do that? Have you seen my attached images? You find the same in every football match almost, so my question is still the same, what are they doing? Just a lay? Or there's a strategy?
Thanks
F.
We don't assume it's not profitable - I said it can be profitable used selectively. If somebody backs a football team at 2.5 you don't assume he's adopted a strategy revolving around backing teams that are 2.5. He might just fancy that particular time to win the match at 2.5.
Anbell
Posts: 2405
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

jimibt wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:51 pm
got a feeling this could be a LOOONG thread. good luck to all participants ;)
we're going to have to copy/paste all those threads that have all the answers that we're not allowed to link to.
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gazuty
Posts: 2557
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 11:52 am
Hi guys,
easy question, can please anyone exaplain me what you see on that images attached?
Is this the socratic method? A slow reveal after you ask many questions?
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 11:52 am
Why people back on 1.01?
Is it a strategy?
Is it profitable?
When anyone back or lays, whether at 1.01 or 1000 and everywhere in between ask yourself this - does the backer or layer believe that the back or lay will be profitable (either immediately or in the long run)?

Would the backer or layer deliberately follow a strategy or even an individual bet of doing something that they believe to be unprofitable or likely to be a loser?

Is the backer or layer pursuing a strategy or simply having a punt or throwing a dart - who knows the motivations of the human exchange participant in an anonymous market place?
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jamesedwards
Posts: 4354
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 2:30 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 2:09 pm
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:28 pm
Hi again guys, thanks to everyone who spent time to answer at my stupid question.
What I would say is that in almost every football match I noticed the same as I attached, so I suppose it means on football is a profitable strategy? Or not? I would to talk about football trading, no tennis or horses, thanks

F.
It's unlikely you'll find a profitable strategy by simply laying every market in a particular sport at 1.01 or any other price. With a bit of refinement regarding selecting the criteria and perhaps closing some or all of the trade, there can be profitable strategies around laying at a low price.
Ok, we assume that is not profitable, but why they do that? Have you seen my attached images? You find the same in every football match almost, so my question is still the same, what are they doing? Just a lay? Or there's a strategy?
Thanks
F.
A strategy that lays every single selection at 1.01 with greening in any liquid market for not in-play only is absolutely guaranteed to be profitable as there is zero risk (other than human error/BF charges) and eventually you will hit upon someone's "fat finger" and profit by their mistake. But you will need to lay in 1000s or perhaps 10000s of markets before you chance upon one that delivers a return. Therefore one would argue whether the return is worth the effort even though it is guaranteed profitable. Perhaps that is what this 1.01 money is doing?
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Kai
Posts: 7179
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:08 pm
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:46 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:41 pm

People are offering to lay at 1.01 but the bets will only get matched in running if the horse goes close in the race (or somebody makes a huge fat-finger mistake pre-race). The layers are trying to win big with small risk, the backers are trying to win small with huge risk, supposedly compensated with a high probability of success.
Thnak you. But in football what's the % of success in that cases?
This is really something you need to research yourself. Any information handed to you over the internet, by its very nature of transparency, can't be highly prized.
Fully agree with Fabio Capello on this one, why waste your own time finding answers to easy questions when others can do that faster and better? Makes no sense.

Like Winston Churchill once famously said : "If it's on the internet, then it must be true."
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Kai wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:59 am
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:08 pm
FabioC13 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:46 pm


Thnak you. But in football what's the % of success in that cases?
This is really something you need to research yourself. Any information handed to you over the internet, by its very nature of transparency, can't be highly prized.
Fully agree with Fabio Capello on this one, why waste your own time finding answers to easy questions when others can do that faster and better? Makes no sense.

Like Winston Churchill once famously said : "If it's on the internet, then it must be true."
The reason I suggested doing research is that I sense if somebody could provide him with the answer the next question would be, what about 1.02, 1.03, etc. If you're building a strategy at some point you'll have to some research.
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Kai
Posts: 7179
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:09 am
Kai wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:59 am
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:08 pm

This is really something you need to research yourself. Any information handed to you over the internet, by its very nature of transparency, can't be highly prized.
Fully agree with Fabio Capello on this one, why waste your own time finding answers to easy questions when others can do that faster and better? Makes no sense.

Like Winston Churchill once famously said : "If it's on the internet, then it must be true."
The reason I suggested doing research is that I sense if somebody could provide him with the answer the next question would be, what about 1.02, 1.03, etc. If you're building a strategy at some point you'll have to some research.
Sure, but nowadays in this instant gratification culture asking easy questions on a public forum = research :)
FabioC13
Posts: 27
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2020 10:47 am

Thanks a lot to everybody to spent a little time trying to answer to my questions.
Actually, in three pages of threads nobody has been able to provide me a clear answer.
But thanks anyways
Anbell
Posts: 2405
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

jimibt wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:51 pm
got a feeling this could be a LOOONG thread. good luck to all participants ;)
Ping
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gazuty
Posts: 2557
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

FabioC13 wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:03 am
Thanks a lot to everybody to spent a little time trying to answer to my questions.
Actually, in three pages of threads nobody has been able to provide me a clear answer.
But thanks anyways
The answer has been given, whether you choose to accept it is another question.
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Naffman
Posts: 5924
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

gazuty wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:33 am
FabioC13 wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:03 am
Thanks a lot to everybody to spent a little time trying to answer to my questions.
Actually, in three pages of threads nobody has been able to provide me a clear answer.
But thanks anyways
The answer has been given, whether you choose to accept it is another question.
These people will actively be in the markets too :lol: :mrgreen:
FabioC13
Posts: 27
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2020 10:47 am

gazuty wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:33 am
FabioC13 wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:03 am
Thanks a lot to everybody to spent a little time trying to answer to my questions.
Actually, in three pages of threads nobody has been able to provide me a clear answer.
But thanks anyways
The answer has been given, whether you choose to accept it is another question.
If you check better, and read again, there's not any clear answer.
Not Any.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:09 am
Kai wrote:
Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:59 am
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Sep 25, 2020 1:08 pm

This is really something you need to research yourself. Any information handed to you over the internet, by its very nature of transparency, can't be highly prized.
Fully agree with Fabio Capello on this one, why waste your own time finding answers to easy questions when others can do that faster and better? Makes no sense.

Like Winston Churchill once famously said : "If it's on the internet, then it must be true."
The reason I suggested doing research is that I sense if somebody could provide him with the answer the next question would be, what about 1.02, 1.03, etc. If you're building a strategy at some point you'll have to some research.
I must have been answering that in hurry to not have noticed that you were taking the piss. :lol:
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