Blackpool vs Chelsea

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

This looks an intriguing game this evening. Worth a bit of effort I think.

Blackpool

The Seasiders' league games have produced a total of 97 goals this season - an average of almost 3.5 goals per game.

They have yet to keep a Premier League clean sheet at Bloomfield Road, but have also scored in all of their home games this term.

Blackpool have lost eight of 11 league games in 2011 (W2, D1, L8).

The Tangerines have not kept a clean sheet since winning 2-0 at Sunderland on 28 December.

Chelsea

The Blues have won only two of their last nine league games away from Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea have only dropped four points from winning positions - a record matched only by Stoke.

David Luiz's goal against Manchester United was the seventh league goal scored by a Chelsea defender this term. Only Blackburn and Stoke (eight) have chipped in with more goals from the back.
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Euler
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92% of Blackpool's home games end up over 2.5 goals.

http://www.statto.com/football/teams/bl ... /2010-2011
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Euler
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From the database: -

Teams priced at home at odds of 11-12.5

Away - 2007 - Wigan vs Chelsea - Result - 0-2
Away - 2007 - Derby vs Liverpool - Result - 1-2
Away - 2008 - Reading vs Man Utd - Result - 0-2
Away - 2008 - Mansfield vs Middlesbrough - Result - 0-2
Away - 2008 - Fulham vs Man Utd - Result - 0-3
Away - 2008 - Derby vs Arsenal - Result - 2-6
Away - 2008 - Stoke vs Chelsea - Result - 0-2
Away - 2009 - West Brom vs Man Utd - Result - 0-5
Away - 2009 - Newcastle vs Man Utd - Result - 1-2
Away - 2009 - Hull vs Man Utd - Result - 1-3
Away - 2010 - Wolves vs Man Utd - Result - 0-1
Away - 2010 - Portsmouth vs Chelsea - Result - 0-5
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

If you run again including all leagues but excluding internationals: -

Home : Digital odds : 16.67
Draw : Digital odds : 7.14
Away : Digital odds : 1.25

Result size : 71
Online Trader
Posts: 211
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:13 am

Laying Chelsea when odds on away from home this season to win 10 points per lay has produced 26.8 points profit ;)
petardo
Posts: 133
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2010 4:41 pm

Euler wrote:92% of Blackpool's home games end up over 2.5 goals.

http://www.statto.com/football/teams/bl ... /2010-2011
Oposite there only 43% Chelsea away games finished over 2.5 goals. Statistically there is only middle probability score goal in first ten minutes.Chelsea scored only one time in the first 10 minutes away. Most goals are expected after 75-th minute.There is more to consider if you trade this match on over/under goals market.
Predicton
Posts: 281
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 3:41 pm

Hi All,

it is an interesting match. My stats have got it very balanced, hardly any difference between the likelihood of a home or away, with the draw being a little way behind,

cheers, P
freddy
Posts: 1132
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 8:22 pm

Chelsea are over there mid season blip and will not be dropping too many points from now on this season imo.

Blackpool on the other hand are in big trouble, they have the worst home record in the Premiership and really don't think there will be any suprises here.

Odds are about perfect imo,
will be leaving alone myself, carn't find a angle :lol: .
Predicton
Posts: 281
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 3:41 pm

Wow, Chelsea are fancied aren't they?
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

20 mins 0-1 Chelsea
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Odds, score and stats all about right at half time.
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