"Corsi" and his 100% strike rate strategy

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ilovepizza82
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Hi,

"Corsi" is one of the guys on twitter who notoriously posts his afterboom trading PL screenshots.
Never seen a single one with even 1 loss on his PL list. He claims he got some sort of database (excell) that allows him to place his bets to make profits and apparently...only profits.
He posted a few videos recently.
Was wondering if anyone come across this person or if he is BA forum user here.

HIs account:
@Corsi70594111

EDIT: The blurred decoded bit in his video says: "Excell WS: Market (A1)"
Last edited by ilovepizza82 on Sun May 30, 2021 4:45 am, edited 4 times in total.
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alexmr2
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It's easy to get 100% strike rate for a day with a big bank and -EV loss recovery system, but it's even easier to edit the html code on your Betfair P&L page.

IMO usually the only reason small/new accounts post results like this coupled with lifestyle photos on social media is because they are trying to sell you something
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ilovepizza82
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alexmr2 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 3:56 am
It's easy to get 100% strike rate for a day with a big bank and -EV loss recovery system, but it's even easier to edit the html code on your Betfair P&L page.

IMO usually the only reason small/new accounts post results like this coupled with lifestyle photos on social media is because they are trying to sell you something
Yes i know but the funny thing is that he is not selling anything and got his DM disabled so even if you wanted to pay him you cant unless he is just preparing ground for that.
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to75ne
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ilovepizza82 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 4:07 am
Yes i know but the funny thing is that he is not selling anything and got his DM disabled so even if you wanted to pay him you cant unless he is just
NOT YET he is warming you up.
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Euler
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I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
jamesg46
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Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
Looks like he's had that experience.

I can't remember how many people I watched come and go who thought this was the golden egg when I was on Twatter. I'd be surprised if he tried to sell it as a strategy, that corner of the market is well & truly taken & by the biggest professional scum bag of them all.
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ilovepizza82
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Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
Would be great to see you talk about it in your next video.
Frankly, he doesnt seem to risk a lot in any of his videos but i admit he also doesnt show everything. At first glance it looks more like dutching and then laying some of the horses off when hitting 2.0 or any other particular lower price, or higher.
jamesg46
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ilovepizza82 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 12:40 pm
Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
Would be great to see you talk about it in your next video.
Frankly, he doesnt seem to risk a lot in any of his videos but i admit he also doesnt show everything. At first glance it looks more like dutching and then laying some of the horses off when hitting 2.0 or any other particular lower price, or higher.
This is a great video on the subject.

https://youtu.be/jzcFLDbBsug
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paspuggie48
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Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
I concur.

A couple of years back I used to get the daily emails from Oddschecker and I noticed the favourites at a certain price and confidence % were always placing. So I developed a system that over 6 months, day-in/day-out, had a 98% S/R and each return averaged 10%. I even had a Facebook page called "Bet-A-Place" and lots of my mates watched as I posted every day how many were winning. I followed it to a 'T', logged everything daily and watched them all come in, with just 1 or 2 losers. I even had a small syndicate and made them 300% on their investment. Then I got a computer virus and lost a lot of data but continued with what I had. I told a mate of mine and he wanted to do it...I was happy to just monitor it but after daily telling him the horses (which has just had 60 winners on the trot) he wanted to have a bet....so he did and won the first few and made a neat few hundred profit. Then, against all odds, he had 4 losers in 6 bets and lost the lot and more !

Last year when lockdown started I had more time on my hands so for few weeks I did basically what Corsi is showing as well as lays both pre-off and in-running. Low 'n behold I had 1200 winning trades on the trot. Only a couple of quid here and there but every trade was successful and each was logged in a spreadsheet in line with my BF account report.

Thinking I was invincible I got cocky and basically lost everything I'd made.

Lack of discipline, stupidity and lack of knowledge probably cost me but it was nice while it lasted but proves that it can be brutal...You never know !! LOL
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ilovepizza82
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paspuggie48 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 1:12 pm
Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
I concur.

A couple of years back I used to get the daily emails from Oddschecker and I noticed the favourites at a certain price and confidence % were always placing. So I developed a system that over 6 months, day-in/day-out, had a 98% S/R and each return averaged 10%. I even had a Facebook page called "Bet-A-Place" and lots of my mates watched as I posted every day how many were winning. I followed it to a 'T', logged everything daily and watched them all come in, with just 1 or 2 losers. I even had a small syndicate and made them 300% on their investment. Then I got a computer virus and lost a lot of data but continued with what I had. I told a mate of mine and he wanted to do it...I was happy to just monitor it but after daily telling him the horses (which has just had 60 winners on the trot) he wanted to have a bet....so he did and won the first few and made a neat few hundred profit. Then, against all odds, he had 4 losers in 6 bets and lost the lot and more !

Last year when lockdown started I had more time on my hands so for few weeks I did basically what Corsi is showing as well as lays both pre-off and in-running. Low 'n behold I had 1200 winning trades on the trot. Only a couple of quid here and there but every trade was successful and each was logged in a spreadsheet in line with my BF account report.

Thinking I was invincible I got cocky and basically lost everything I'd made.

Lack of discipline, stupidity and lack of knowledge probably cost me but it was nice while it lasted but proves that it can be brutal...You never know !! LOL
But...it worked...
What odds did you use to pick ?
I remember i had that crazy idea to back places too when super short odds. DIdnt work. ( yea i know what a surprise)
Then i tried to lay those with super short odds by liability...and lol, was surprised how often they lose. It was only 1 day experiment but it was interesting.
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Morbius
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to75ne wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:25 am
ilovepizza82 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 4:07 am
Yes i know but the funny thing is that he is not selling anything and got his DM disabled so even if you wanted to pay him you cant unless he is just
NOT YET he is warming you up.

In any deeply adversarial field it doesn't make sound financial sense to educate the very people who you are competing against to be at your level or greater. There are however outlying exceptions to this rule. One is if you could create a "trading" business that could outstrip the income you could make from actually trading.

This is easier to do now with PC on the scene. This prolongs the scalability of your operation. Another is if it would make no difference to your own operation and trading. But to educate in sports trading should mean that you've hit the ceiling earnings wise with actually trading because the scalability and leverage in trading is such that you should be spending your time scaling up and not teaching people your edge...... Unless you were part of a very rare breed who gets bored of money... Rarer than Halleys Comet or your edge stopped working some time ago
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ilovepizza82
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Not sure what has happened but...lol.
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paspuggie48
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ilovepizza82 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 2:08 pm
paspuggie48 wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 1:12 pm
Euler wrote:
Sun May 30, 2021 9:34 am
I don't know why in-play offsetting has become so popular. Even I'm tempted to talk about it.

But it has a very high strike rate and can go on very long winning runs...... and still not be profitable. The losses are massively outsized to the small gains so when losses come they will be absolutely brutal. I know nothing of Corsi, but I'm aware of plenty of people who are touting this as the next great thing, only using it on the basis to sell products or advice.

Every market and strategy has a base rate, a natural rate at which something happens. There is no skill in using a very high base rate strategy, but plenty in terms of achieving long term profitability.
I concur.

A couple of years back I used to get the daily emails from Oddschecker and I noticed the favourites at a certain price and confidence % were always placing. So I developed a system that over 6 months, day-in/day-out, had a 98% S/R and each return averaged 10%. I even had a Facebook page called "Bet-A-Place" and lots of my mates watched as I posted every day how many were winning. I followed it to a 'T', logged everything daily and watched them all come in, with just 1 or 2 losers. I even had a small syndicate and made them 300% on their investment. Then I got a computer virus and lost a lot of data but continued with what I had. I told a mate of mine and he wanted to do it...I was happy to just monitor it but after daily telling him the horses (which has just had 60 winners on the trot) he wanted to have a bet....so he did and won the first few and made a neat few hundred profit. Then, against all odds, he had 4 losers in 6 bets and lost the lot and more !

Last year when lockdown started I had more time on my hands so for few weeks I did basically what Corsi is showing as well as lays both pre-off and in-running. Low 'n behold I had 1200 winning trades on the trot. Only a couple of quid here and there but every trade was successful and each was logged in a spreadsheet in line with my BF account report.

Thinking I was invincible I got cocky and basically lost everything I'd made.

Lack of discipline, stupidity and lack of knowledge probably cost me but it was nice while it lasted but proves that it can be brutal...You never know !! LOL
But...it worked...
What odds did you use to pick ?
I remember i had that crazy idea to back places too when super short odds. DIdnt work. ( yea i know what a surprise)
Then i tried to lay those with super short odds by liability...and lol, was surprised how often they lose. It was only 1 day experiment but it was interesting.
It worked for as long as they sent the emails, as it was price and confidence based criteria at that time I received the email. I wrote some VBA that extracted the email details and ran another macro to determine if one was a selection, which took seconds.

Then Oddschecker said it was too time consuming and costly to keep maintaining the programme that sent the details out, so they stopped sending the emails.

I tried to continue manually with their App but as prices tended to change it was impossible to keep up with.
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paspuggie48
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ilovepizza82 wrote:
Mon May 31, 2021 9:28 am
Not sure what has happened but...lol.
Oh dear...!
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