Goals

[Undockedstar]

Hi,

I understand you can use xg to work out approx number of goals per match ( still looking at this!) But how about approx when a goal may be scored ? Could anyone point me in the right direction of what to look into? Reading or videos would be brilliant!
Thank you

[Derek27]

Hi,

I understand you can use xg to work out approx number of goals per match ( still looking at this!) But how about approx when a goal may be scored ? Could anyone point me in the right direction of what to look into? Reading or videos would be brilliant!
Thank you

Have you seen my Poisson spreadsheet? viewtopic.php?p=267668#p267668

It calculates the minute of a 50% likelihood of a goal being scored based on the Poisson Distribution: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_d ... s_function

Obviously PD has limitations which you're probably aware of but it can be a starting point.

[Undockedstar]

I did find it yesterday, it's perfect for what I need. I was mainly looking for how to work it out for matches that ain't available on it. Unless I can find additional library's to add to it? Definitely a great addition to the forum so thank you that!