https://www.mashed.com/117506/vladimir- ... ally-eats/
Ukraine Crisis
The concession would be for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral state. In exchange for withdrawa of Russian forces. Perhaps at the expense of Luhansk/Donetsk. But both those regions are Russian anyway. What puzzles me now, is where is the well-developed detante and diplomacy.Dallas wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:17 pmEuler wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:04 pmY, he needs an exit. But you would think negotiators would understand that.Trader Pat wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 5:54 pmProblem for Putin and everybody else is how does he back himself out of this corner without losing face?
The wheels have come off ALL his initial plans, and I agree he's got to somehow come away with something or he's finished
That's why I think the whole reason for upping his Nuclear alert status simply boils down to putting pressure on the west to give him an exit strategy and something to back off with - and if they won't call his bluff if he'll deploy them anywhere or just go gung-ho and level many parts of Ukraine out of frustration!
When you look at how the Cuban missile crisis it included a hidden concession from the US to pull missiles out of Turkey which were never disclosed publicly at the time - the problem is the later won't apply here and I can't see what the Ukraine and the west can publicly concede for him to walk away
- wearthefoxhat
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The only exit plan where Puta Putin can save face, will likely come from China/India. The West have seemingly made their minds up to extricate him and are totting up the war crimes against him on every civilian that gets killed.Dallas wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:17 pmEuler wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:04 pmY, he needs an exit. But you would think negotiators would understand that.Trader Pat wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 5:54 pmProblem for Putin and everybody else is how does he back himself out of this corner without losing face?
The wheels have come off ALL his initial plans, and I agree he's got to somehow come away with something or he's finished
That's why I think the whole reason for upping his Nuclear alert status simply boils down to putting pressure on the west to give him an exit strategy and something to back off with - and if they won't call his bluff if he'll deploy them anywhere or just go gung-ho and level many parts of Ukraine out of frustration!
When you look at how the Cuban missile crisis it included a hidden concession from the US to pull missiles out of Turkey which were never disclosed publicly at the time - the problem is the later won't apply here and I can't see what the Ukraine and the west can publicly concede for him to walk away
Interest rates being increased to 20% won't cut it, They'll be pushing their roubles around in wheelbarrows next.
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Trader Pat
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That's how I see it. He'll have a list of unrealistic demands but will want something tangible not just promises.greenmark wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:46 pmThe concession would be for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral state. In exchange for withdrawa of Russian forces. Perhaps at the expense of Luhansk/Donetsk. But both those regions are Russian anyway. What puzzles me now, is where is the well-developed detante and diplomacy.Dallas wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:17 pm
The wheels have come off ALL his initial plans, and I agree he's got to somehow come away with something or he's finished
That's why I think the whole reason for upping his Nuclear alert status simply boils down to putting pressure on the west to give him an exit strategy and something to back off with - and if they won't call his bluff if he'll deploy them anywhere or just go gung-ho and level many parts of Ukraine out of frustration!
When you look at how the Cuban missile crisis it included a hidden concession from the US to pull missiles out of Turkey which were never disclosed publicly at the time - the problem is the later won't apply here and I can't see what the Ukraine and the west can publicly concede for him to walk away
If peace is reached as soon as Russia withdraws there'll be a rush to join NATO for any country sharing a border with them.
- Realrocknrolla
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.If peace is reached as soon as Russia withdraws there'll be a rush to join NATO for any country sharing a border with them
This
Slava Ukraini
Ukraine demanding to become an immediate member of the EU earlier today doesn't help that - unless it is all part of what is to come?Trader Pat wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 7:22 pmThat's how I see it. He'll have a list of unrealistic demands but will want something tangible not just promises.greenmark wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:46 pmThe concession would be for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral state. In exchange for withdrawa of Russian forces. Perhaps at the expense of Luhansk/Donetsk. But both those regions are Russian anyway. What puzzles me now, is where is the well-developed detante and diplomacy.Dallas wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:17 pm
The wheels have come off ALL his initial plans, and I agree he's got to somehow come away with something or he's finished
That's why I think the whole reason for upping his Nuclear alert status simply boils down to putting pressure on the west to give him an exit strategy and something to back off with - and if they won't call his bluff if he'll deploy them anywhere or just go gung-ho and level many parts of Ukraine out of frustration!
When you look at how the Cuban missile crisis it included a hidden concession from the US to pull missiles out of Turkey which were never disclosed publicly at the time - the problem is the later won't apply here and I can't see what the Ukraine and the west can publicly concede for him to walk away
If peace is reached as soon as Russia withdraws there'll be a rush to join NATO for any country sharing a border with them.
ie, A concession to drop imminent EU membership and become a neutral state would be seen as a bit of a 'win' for Putin
- Realrocknrolla
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Trader Pat
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That seemed more like a desperate cry for help rather than a genuine desire to join the EU.Dallas wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 7:34 pmUkraine demanding to become an immediate member of the EU earlier today doesn't help that - unless it is all part of what is to come?Trader Pat wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 7:22 pmThat's how I see it. He'll have a list of unrealistic demands but will want something tangible not just promises.greenmark wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 6:46 pm
The concession would be for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral state. In exchange for withdrawa of Russian forces. Perhaps at the expense of Luhansk/Donetsk. But both those regions are Russian anyway. What puzzles me now, is where is the well-developed detante and diplomacy.
If peace is reached as soon as Russia withdraws there'll be a rush to join NATO for any country sharing a border with them.
ie, A concession to drop imminent EU membership and become a neutral state would be seen as a bit of a 'win' for Putin
I think its a non starter anyway. One of the conditions to join is having a stable democracy so that probably rules out membership for now.
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Archery1969
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I cant imagine Alexander Bortnikov is going to allow Putin to continue too much longer, Russia standing in the world is fast becoming worse than North Korea.
- Realrocknrolla
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Archery1969 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 8:20 pmI cant imagine Alexander Bortnikov is going to allow Putin to continue too much longer, Russia standing in the world is fast becoming worse than North Korea.
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Archery1969
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Realrocknrolla wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 8:27 pmAEBF8D2B-B817-4189-965E-B5C9DFC28B59.jpeg
Archery1969 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 8:20 pmI cant imagine Alexander Bortnikov is going to allow Putin to continue too much longer, Russia standing in the world is fast becoming worse than North Korea.
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Archery1969
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Could be the end for Kyiv tonight as there is a 17 mile convoy of Russian tanks and Ariliary on its way there. 

