Greyhound Musings

[sniffer66]

I'm trying some automated straight lays using a combinaton of bias, speed, 1st and last bend position average over previous 5 races, Whether tipped on RP, and a few other form stats. Hit 90% SR yesterday so slightly hopeful. very early doors though.

[wearthefoxhat]

More musings.

Just looking at a way to predict times based on the probability of a clear run/trap bias/current form, by essentially formulising the data and producing a set of times specific to each runner under current race conditions.

Based on this hypothesis, T2 "looks" to be a false favourite in the following race. Kinsley 12:06


Kins 12.06.png

Regardless of the other data, this morning's bias code returns T2/T3 as the lowest no. of winners. With 2 being the lowest


Capture.JPG

Yep, worked out well.

[wearthefoxhat]

I'm trying some automated straight lays using a combinaton of bias, speed, 1st and last bend position average over previous 5 races, Whether tipped on RP, and a few other form stats. Hit 90% SR yesterday so slightly hopeful. very early doors though.

90% is sweet!

Anything tipped by the racing post, I'd be tempted to downgrade its' chances.

To be fair, they do well in the open races compared to the graded ones.

[wearthefoxhat]

More musings.

Just looking at a way to predict times based on the probability of a clear run/trap bias/current form, by essentially formulising the data and producing a set of times specific to each runner under current race conditions.

Based on this hypothesis, T2 "looks" to be a false favourite in the following race. Kinsley 12:06


Kins 12.06.png

Kinsley 12.06 result.

Kins12.06R.png

Based on the comments, the race looked a clean one with a winning time of 28.34 (28.44 was predicted).

[wearthefoxhat]

Musings+

The Romford 10:31 today is an interesting one mainly due to the progress of T1 Orange Aoife

Orange Aoife.png

From Jun 7th, started off in an A7, in 3 runs, now in an A2 and crushing all before them, even when the racing manager double jumps it in grade!

The old adage, "follow a bitch in form" holds true for this one, and it's only a Dec 2020 pup.

What does my algo predict?

Romf 10.31.png

A competitive A2 with four of the runners likely to beat the Par time, but, with a similar run as last time, still has a length in hand and that doesn't account for further improvement. The clear run principle and a favourable T1 draw, can only see one result.

[Realrocknrolla]

Musings+

The Romford 10:31 today is an interesting one mainly due to the progress of T1 Orange Aoife


Orange Aoife.png


From Jun 7th, started off in an A7, in 3 runs, now in an A2 and crushing all before them, even when the racing manager double jumps it in grade!

The old adage, "follow a bitch in form" holds true for this one, and it's only a Dec 2020 pup.

What does my algo predict?


Romf 10.31.png


A competitive A2 with four of the runners likely to beat the Par time, but, with a similar run as last time, still has a length in hand and that doesn't account for further improvement. The clear run principle and a favourable T1 draw, can only see one result.

Give this a watch. Keep em coming!

[MemphisFlash]

stats at a glance 10:31

Capture.PNG

[Atho55]

Trap 3 might be a close rival..

Grey Win% by Trap.jpg

[sniffer66]

I'm trying some automated straight lays using a combinaton of bias, speed, 1st and last bend position average over previous 5 races, Whether tipped on RP, and a few other form stats. Hit 90% SR yesterday so slightly hopeful. very early doors though.

90% is sweet!

Anything tipped by the racing post, I'd be tempted to downgrade its' chances.

To be fair, they do well in the open races compared to the graded ones.

Now at a cumulative 91% after yesterday. Need a good few months in now.

[wearthefoxhat]

Romford 10:31 Result

Rom10.31R.png

Winning Time 24.30 (Predicted 24.23)

T6 seemed to get away sharpish today. (fairly recently dropped in grade) T1 still ran a fair race, no excuses. T3,T4,T5 all got in their own way.

[wearthefoxhat]

stats at a glance 10:31


Capture.PNG

Saw the other ones posted. What are the key pieces of info to look out for?

[wearthefoxhat]

Trap 3 might be a close rival..


Grey Win% by Trap.jpg

Nice stats. Yep, T3's record a fair one there.

[Vaz0202]

stats at a glance 10:31


Capture.PNG

Really impressive interface!!

[Realrocknrolla]

LMAO

https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-fund-gr ... g-strategy

[sniffer66]

LMAO

https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-fund-gr ... g-strategy

$10 of $10k raised. Hahaha