Greening Up.... Whats the point?

We were all new to Bet Angel once. Ask any question you like here and fellow forum members promise not to laugh. Betfair trading made simple.
Post Reply
Morrisman
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Feb 24, 2014 12:27 am

Hi all,

So having cleverly traded your way into or automated your way into a position of value.

Why green up?

aren't you simply giving some of that value away?

Or is it worth the price to smooth out variance?

Rich
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10631
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

If they're 0EV bets or worse then it comes down to whether the commission difference is worth it.

I've seen the comments about varience before, but if it makes significantly more money then who cares about varience. Do you want to earn a lot in lumps or a little in drips?

It's pretty easy to work out your PL with or without the hedging bets (whether you actually had them or not) so it's something I always check to see if they're making money or giving it away.
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 7301
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

It's just an (optional) risk management strategy that protects your position against market volatility.

Some of the benefits off the top of my head include the ability to recycle stakes instantly after hedging, it beats various variance issues, on need to top off your trading back which could be an issue nowadays, it makes for pretty P&L's to impress both your friends and enemies, getting instant rewards feeds your daily instant gratification needs, makes trading easier by smoothing out the important psychological side of trading etc...

And you're already familiar with the main drawback.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10631
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Kai wrote:
Tue Sep 06, 2022 2:00 pm
Some of the benefits off the top of my head include the ability to recycle stakes instantly after hedging, it beats various variance issues......
There's certainly different priorities as you move from just starting out to pushing the envelope.

The maths part is simple to prove or check so it depends on personality types.
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 7301
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

No need for actual maths and calculating stuff I think, he can solve the question on a conceptual basis, I am assuming OP is (eventually) profitable.

Obviously for many auto approaches most of those benefits would largely be irrelevant and you only really care about the bottom line, in which case cheaply hedging away valuable positions would seem foolish.

However if the strategy is to trade the market volatility, which it sounded like to me, then hedging probably makes more sense.
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Morrisman wrote:
Tue Sep 06, 2022 1:40 pm
Hi all,

So having cleverly traded your way into or automated your way into a position of value.

Why green up?

aren't you simply giving some of that value away?

Or is it worth the price to smooth out variance?

Rich
I made a transition from horse racing punter to trader. In the early days, I combine the two. I'd green if the horse was under value or let the bet run if it was good value. But when keeping on top of form as well as trading became too time-consuming and I gave up betting I became a cold trader. I was just trading prices and didn't know or care about value and green up every time. It also frees up a lot of time, when you're trading a race every 5-10 minutes to just green up and focus your brain power on the next race, especially when time spent considering greening can be not far off a coin flip.
Morrisman
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Feb 24, 2014 12:27 am

I can see your point so you are trading off a little value to free up yourself to concentrate on the next race. I estimate you loose 2% by greening up but if that is worth it for you then that is a good reason.

I'm not against it. I was experimenting with an automation rule and was considering adding a greening rule. I've decided not to but can see both sides.
Anbell
Posts: 2421
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

Morrisman wrote:
Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:50 pm
I can see your point so you are trading off a little value to free up yourself to concentrate on the next race. I estimate you loose 2% by greening up but if that is worth it for you then that is a good reason.

I'm not against it. I was experimenting with an automation rule and was considering adding a greening rule. I've decided not to but can see both sides.
You can partially green up by offering on the best reverse price, or into bsp and sometimes save the spread
Morrisman
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Feb 24, 2014 12:27 am

Yes you can and that would save some value.

All the smart people in videos..... Peter, Caan etc use clever well researched methods / skills to get into a position of value and then casually click the green up button and give 2+% away.

I'm not critising as I certainly cant do what they do but I did wonder why.
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26689
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Hedging is part of the trading process, I don't see it as a debate for a lot of pre-off trading styles.

If I made £1500 on a group race and then didn't gain it because the horse lost, I may not get the chance to get a decent return again till the next major meeting. So hedging averages everything out and achieves a net result immediately independent of the result.

That means I can put the money to use immediately.

If you gave me a £1k bank pre-off I could double it in a week. But if I didn't hedge, I couldn't tell you what I would end up with at the the week.
Morrisman
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Feb 24, 2014 12:27 am

Euler wrote:
Wed Sep 07, 2022 1:40 pm
Hedging is part of the trading process, I don't see it as a debate for a lot of pre-off trading styles.

If I made £1500 on a group race and then didn't gain it because the horse lost, I may not get the chance to get a decent return again till the next major meeting. So hedging averages everything out and achieves a net result immediately independent of the result.

That means I can put the money to use immediately.

If you gave me a £1k bank pre-off I could double it in a week. But if I didn't hedge, I couldn't tell you what I would end up with at the the week.
I can see your point of view but its interesting that someone of your knowledge and achievements sees it as clear cut as that.

So hedging is the price you pay for short term profit taking and bank roll maintenance.

I think I'm correct in saying that the £1500 you made in the above example would cost you at least £30 (depending on price spreads) to hedge. Thats the price for the other advantages you mention.

Thanks for your insight
Morrisman
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Feb 24, 2014 12:27 am

Kai wrote:
Tue Sep 06, 2022 2:00 pm
It's just an (optional) risk management strategy that protects your position against market volatility.

Some of the benefits off the top of my head include the ability to recycle stakes instantly after hedging, it beats various variance issues, on need to top off your trading back which could be an issue nowadays, it makes for pretty P&L's to impress both your friends and enemies, getting instant rewards feeds your daily instant gratification needs, makes trading easier by smoothing out the important psychological side of trading etc...

And you're already familiar with the main drawback.
These are all valid answers and may well be worth the price :D
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 7301
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Never a problem to ask but best to think for yourself, should arrive at a decent conclusion eventually :)

Don't know what your strategy is but hedge funds are called hedge funds for a reason.

Hedging is the reason why I went into trading, first time I saw a hedged position on a random video my eyes widened and my mind exploded at the sheer concept of it. The ability to lock in a guaranteed profit before events even start? Best invention since sliced bread. It also pays for that sliced bread! Can't ask for more than that. Well, you can, but you may not get matched :) The only time I don't hedge my trading position is when an outage occurs. Even then, sometimes I hedged that risk elsewhere.

That being said, value approaches are different, although even with some value betting strategies you maybe want to hedge your risk at some point, either partially or fully.
User avatar
alexmr2
Posts: 768
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2018 12:32 am

In theory it shouldn't make a difference over 10,000 trades but in reality the variance will more than likely have a psychological effect that reduces your bottom line
Post Reply

Return to “Bet Angel for newbies / Getting started”