Is Advice From Losing Traders Of Any Value?

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Predicton
Posts: 281
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 3:41 pm

Hi Ladies and Gents,

whilst wrestling with the usual problems of accruing races with miniscule profits together with races of juicy losses, it occurred to me that perhaps those things which losing traders have identified as mistakes may be as valuable as those which winning traders identified as correct actions.

Well here's one thing I have found, the indicators used to predict market movement (in horse racing) are less reliable when the animal is priced at less than 3. I lose on about 4 in 5 of those races, whereas I only lose in about 2 in 5 of the others. Resultant action? Well for me it is to avoid those beasts, after all there are always others in the race,

cheers, P.
Quinny
Posts: 83
Joined: Sat May 02, 2009 4:57 pm

Which indicators you are relying on in these situations.

Which race profiles are the 4 losers in, and which race profile is the one winner in? (as in your 4/5).

Depending on your sample size, you have found a winning formula not a losing one.
Predicton
Posts: 281
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 3:41 pm

Now that is a helpful comment. It hadn't occurred to me to look at the "The glass is half full" side of the argument. Cheers, Q,

P.
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

I spent 5 years part-time trading before going self-employed.

I analysed every single trade I done, and actually looked forward to my losing bets as much as my winners!!

From a trading point of view, I learnt more from mistakes than I did from successful trades.

I now happily post a 91% full-time strike rate on football, but couldn't have done it without the help from some cracking losses over the years ;)
andyfuller
Posts: 4619
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm

My advice is record your trading and watch it over time and again to identify where you are making your mistakes.

"The only real mistake is the one from which we learn nothing." ~John Powell
RafterP
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Apr 21, 2009 10:41 am

Hi LeTiss,

Just wondering, are your trades on football pre match or in play?
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

RafterP wrote:Hi LeTiss,

Just wondering, are your trades on football pre match or in play?
Both

Most of my large bets are pre-match
I only have bets over £1000 'in play' if I'm actually watching it
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