Wisdom of crowds

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Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

An interesting article which puts forward a theory on why prediction markets are so accurate:

http://karmatics.com/docs/evolution-and ... rowds.html

Jeff
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Euler
Posts: 26471
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

When I saw the title I thought you were talking about riots again?
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

No - The title would have been 'Mindless stupidity of crowds' if I were talking about them! :)

Jeff
Euler wrote:When I saw the title I thought you were talking about riots again?
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Either could apply in the current markets!
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Quite!

According to the Telegraph: 'FTSE 100 has closed up 3.1pc, DAX is 3.3pc better off and the CAC has ended 2.9pc up. Even Italy, which took a big hit yesterday, closed up 4.1pc. Crisis? What crisis?'

I don't know what's caused the drift, but my money is on a hint from the Fed that QE3 is on its way!

Jeff
Euler wrote:Either could apply in the current markets!
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