sniffer66 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 08, 2023 5:00 pm
Dallas, I've been playing around with Predicted Goals as an additional indicator. It strikes me that to be accurate you need a fully formed CS market and I started off looking at markets with a minimum volume but I'm thinking book % would be a better indicator. Given what you know about the formula used, would you agree ?
You are correct about the more formed the CS market the better the prediction will be, and off the top of my head I'd be inclined to think the book% and even possibly looking at money waiting directly behind best prices would work better than using the traded volume as that is a relative value,
I just about done for the night but will double check and get back to you to be 100% sure