Longshot winners

[Xander170885]

Hello there,

I’ve looked around for an answer, but can’t find it anywhere.

I know that real longshot horses with a betfair starting price of above 200 win once a month or so at the combined racing tracks. But could anybody give me a winning frequency (once, twice, thrice per day/week/month) for the following categories:

BSP: around 100
around 70
around 40


Thanks!
Alex

[Anbell]

Hello there,

I’ve looked around for an answer, but can’t find it anywhere.

I know that real longshot horses with a betfair starting price of above 200 win once a month or so at the combined racing tracks. But could anybody give me a winning frequency (once, twice, thrice per day/week/month) for the following categories:

BSP: around 100
around 70
around 40


Thanks!
Alex

You can find the data here https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/prices

[andy28]

I looked thru some old Data from a year or 2 a go

90-100 = 0.009

60-80 = 0.0155

30-50 = 0.0257

That's from average of 2000 runners in each group. So even at high odds SP pretty close over time. Take commission out and it's not looking good.

[Atho55]

Tables are No of Wins, from No started at those odds, Returns to Back Bet @ £25 excl Comms

40-70-100.png

[Xander170885]

Wow, thank you for your detailed reply This indeed is very helpful. Im kinda a newbee to this. Would you mind providing this information also for the real longshot BSP 200-300, 300-500, and 500+?

THANK YOU SO MUCH

Alex

[Atho55]

200 to 300

200 to 300.png

300 to 500

300 to 500.png

500 to 1000

500 to 1000.png

[greenup]

I dont suppose anyone has any stats on how the bottom horse in betfair race order preforms , always seems to be the odd shock big odds winner , if you ignored the big ones ie 400 plus..

[Xander170885]

Thank you very much again for your effort. However, I can’t see how to read this table in regards to my question. Could you please explain me more? Please give me some examples.

I will be very thankful.

Cheers, Alex

[Atho55]

In the first set it`s easy to show each odd as it`s 3 rows but not practical for the 2nd set so the values have been accumulated for each range.