I think being successful in both back and lay is a very promising sign.sniffer66 wrote: βWed May 22, 2024 5:52 pmSeeing we are talking results and modelling. First 6.5 days live results on my latest model, fully automated, using a combination of history stats and pre off volume, price data. Still early days but I'll take 100 points a week happily. No trading, straight backs and lays.
At the moment it's ranking the dogs in each race by win probability, backing the highest and laying the lowest. So far it's performing as the backtesting showed
Sunday, which was hot, was the only poor day. Will see if it keeps up.
Suspect we have similar models, only a couple of parameters I can really add to mine from whats available out there.
I used timeform stats for mine. Trainer and owner had to be excluded from mine as it needed a lot of computing power, maybe thats the additional edge it needs. Also maybe one other stat I think Timeform doesn't use time to first bend or something that other sites do
Had a top data scientist work on mine so its certainly the missing stats hindering me rather than the way it was made. May get in contact with him and see if we can find a way to get the last few stats in