UK General Election July 4th 2024 - Trading ONLY thread

[Archangel]

Wonder what odds on Farage being PM within a decade.

[jamesedwards]

Wonder what odds on Farage being PM within a decade.

He's just 10.0 to be the next leader of the Conservative party.

[Archery1969]

Wonder what odds on Farage being PM within a decade.

He's just 10.0 to be the next leader of the Conservative party.

wow

[jamesedwards]

Wonder what odds on Farage being PM within a decade.

He's just 10.0 to be the next leader of the Conservative party.

wow

It makes sense. If the Tories lose lots of votes to Reform they will probably swing to the right. Who better to lead a right-wing Conservative party than Farage?

He's probably the most likely option to lead them back to government too, because he's best placed to reunite the right-wing vote. Labour's huge lead is mainly due to the Tory/Reform split vote. Latest poll has Labour on 42% share and they've lost elections with that share in the past.

[greenmark]

Wonder what odds on Farage being PM within a decade.

He's just 10.0 to be the next leader of the Conservative party.

But look at those ahead of him.
Kemi Badenoch
Penny Mordaunt
Priti Patel
Suella Braverman
Tom Tugendhat
James Cleverly

Is that a poll anyone would like to be part of? And Farage is last of those.

[Derek27]

I was looking for a next Conservative leader (after Sunak) market. It's not there but this one looks interesting.

It's a bit cheeky Farage calling himself the main opposition when he's not likely to get more than one or two seats.

Screenshot 2024-06-14 232535.gif

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[Derek27]

I honestly don't know why Mordaunt was allowed to be on the second debate. I would have given the Conservatives the option of selecting a representative that allows others to talk or opt out.

[LeTiss]

I honestly don't know why Mordaunt was allowed to be on the second debate. I would have given the Conservatives the option of selecting a representative that allows others to talk or opt out.

The Tories think she's an ace in the pack, because she performs very well in dismantling Labour and the SNP in the HoC, plus she also rates highly on the 1-10 'would like to fuck' scale

If she hangs on to Portsmouth North, she's clearly odd-on favourite to become Tory leader after the GE

The Tories know Sunak doesn't have any presence when in a crowd. He's very short, which gives the impression of a lack of stature, especially when struggling politically. At this weeks G7 summit only Giorgia Meloni is shorter than him

[Derek27]

I honestly don't know why Mordaunt was allowed to be on the second debate. I would have given the Conservatives the option of selecting a representative that allows others to talk or opt out.

The Tories think she's an ace in the pack, because she performs very well in dismantling Labour and the SNP in the HoC, plus she also rates highly on the 1-10 'would like to fuck' scale

If she hangs on to Portsmouth North, she's clearly odd-on favourite to become Tory leader after the GE

The Tories know Sunak doesn't have any presence when in a crowd. He's very short, which gives the impression of a lack of stature, especially when struggling politically. At this weeks G7 summit only Giorgia Meloni is shorter than him

I must confess, I got board of Liz Truss and went for Penny at the leadership elections (wouldn't have her now though), and Archery as now done the same.

But she does make quite a few gaffs. Not giving anyone a chance to speak in the debates is not a good impression, it reminds you of the selfish git you meet down the pub who you want to hit!

If I remember correctly, when giving a closing statement in the last debate, she focused on what Labour would do (which was highly speculative) in stead of what her party would do. The tax burden is at an all time high but she fails to acknowledge it while attacking Labour. Starmer and co are stupid for not either ruling out tax increases or admitting that they may occur, which could easily be done - no party can be expected to give a 5-year budget. But Mordaunt is equally flawed thinking that not ruling a policy out is equal to ruling it in (as certain as night follows day is the phrase they keep using).

That said, Mordaunt would do better than Sunak at PQT.

[TheDane]

Meanwhile in the Italian parliament everything is at usual : https://ekstrabladet.dk/nyheder/politik ... 265626.ece

At least British politics is not there yet.
Let us hope the General Election throws up some good trading opportunities.

Best regards from Denmark

[greenmark]

The overall majority has twitched by a tick one way or the other. But seems locked at around 1.06 for Labour
Reform Vote % at 20% is shortening. But they'll win diddly squat until Farage get's his wish for PR.
What a terrible notion - here's your new Prime Minister of the UK ......... NIGEL FARAGE!!!!!!!!!

[Derek27]

According to this map, there's not a single safe seat for the Tories!

https://yougov.co.uk/elections/uk/2024

[jimibt]

According to this map, there's not a single safe seat for the Tories!

https://yougov.co.uk/elections/uk/2024

If Penny loses her job and needs a home, she only has to ring me.

alas - she HATES canada

[jimibt]

According to this map, there's not a single safe seat for the Tories!

https://yougov.co.uk/elections/uk/2024

If Penny loses her job and needs a home, she only has to ring me.

alas - she HATES canada tho loves co**!! oops

[Archery1969]

According to this map, there's not a single safe seat for the Tories!

https://yougov.co.uk/elections/uk/2024

If Penny loses her job and needs a home, she only has to ring me.

alas - she HATES canada

Why she hate Canada ?