US Presidential Election 2024
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jamesedwards
- Posts: 3989
- Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm
Kamala goes favourite. 2.04 vs Trump 2.06.
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Crazyskier
- Posts: 1280
- Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm
Trump still looks value to me, above evens.
CS
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firlandsfarm
- Posts: 3317
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am
Currently Kamala 1.99, Trump 2.19 ... I wonder if any out of work Conservative MP's are seeing this turnaround and thinking ... shit, why didn't we
Last edited by firlandsfarm on Thu Aug 08, 2024 9:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
Kamala has taken the traditional route of selecting a running mate that's the opposite of her and can pull votes in areas where she can't. Trump has picked his heir apparent. He's even gone further by undermining his running mate, saying the VP isn't important, people are voting for him. 
Another chunky move on Betfair for Harris now @1.92 v Trump @2.22 Been trying to understand the reason for the move in the last 24hrs..... looks like a couple of things;
1, Look at the difference in the 2 rallies last night - Harris & Walz on the ball from minute one to an audience of circa 15k at Arizona. Trump over an hour late (aircraft issues) for his rally at Montana with an audience of 10k, took nearly an hour to get going and then just his normal rambling word salads and personal insults.
2. A lot of bookies have now also shortened their odds on Harris, and interestingly also on Nikki Hayley.
3. There has been a rumour doing the rounds about Trump throwing toys out of the pram and pulling out if the numbers keep going against him.... looks like it started with Scaramucci, so a pinch of salt needed?
4. Another ad hoc press conference at Mar a Lago from Trump, which it appears his team knew nothing about, and again off script he went...
Trump really needs to drop the insults and get onto policies if he wants to pull things back, Harris also seems to have done well with her VP pick, he's all over socials- for the right reasons versus Trumps pick of Vance who opens his mouth and bombs.... is Trump going to swap him out soon?
Interesting times, a long way to go for Harris to keep the momentum up....
1, Look at the difference in the 2 rallies last night - Harris & Walz on the ball from minute one to an audience of circa 15k at Arizona. Trump over an hour late (aircraft issues) for his rally at Montana with an audience of 10k, took nearly an hour to get going and then just his normal rambling word salads and personal insults.
2. A lot of bookies have now also shortened their odds on Harris, and interestingly also on Nikki Hayley.
3. There has been a rumour doing the rounds about Trump throwing toys out of the pram and pulling out if the numbers keep going against him.... looks like it started with Scaramucci, so a pinch of salt needed?
4. Another ad hoc press conference at Mar a Lago from Trump, which it appears his team knew nothing about, and again off script he went...
Trump really needs to drop the insults and get onto policies if he wants to pull things back, Harris also seems to have done well with her VP pick, he's all over socials- for the right reasons versus Trumps pick of Vance who opens his mouth and bombs.... is Trump going to swap him out soon?
Interesting times, a long way to go for Harris to keep the momentum up....
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SteamedHams
- Posts: 19
- Joined: Tue Jun 04, 2024 11:56 am
Harris at 1.33 to win the popular vote has to be the best value 1/3 shot around. The vagaries of the electoral college mean that the election itself is still a coin toss but there is no universe in which Trump wins the PV.
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Archery1969
- Posts: 4478
- Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am
