I have produced some figures and would like your opinions on which of the following is the better value.
My Figures Market Price Book % dif Price % diff
8.08 (12.38%) 6.30 (15.87%) -3.49 -21.98
8.50 (11.76%) 11.25(8.89%) 2.87 32.25
64.6 (1.55%) 37.00(2.70%) -1.15 -42.72
So i have these numbers and i don't want to Back and Lay all selections just one which are furtherest out of line.
What is the best method for choosing?
The Best Value?
I agree it always makes sense to back as many value selections as possible but defining the stake system is where i need to define what is "better value" because i dont want to be backing the larger price selection for to much money or vice versa.
The system is HT/FT betting so i produce figures and then compare them to the market price and then decide what bets to place but i need some hard and fast rules.
So below are the figures for Sundays Arsenal v Stoke game
My Figs Betfair
Home/Home 2.72 (36.73) 2.52 (39.68)
Home/Draw 28 (3.57) 20 (5.00)
Home/Away 98 (1.02) 67.5 (1.48)
Draw/Home 4.17 (23.98) 5.2 (19.23)
Draw/Draw 5.94 (16.84) 7 (14.29)
Draw/Away 15.08(6.63) 17.75 (5.63)
Away/Home 98 (1.02) 29 (3.45)
Away/Draw 32.67(3.06) 22.5 (4.44)
Away/Away 14 (7.14) 14.75 (6.78)
If we take the Home/Home the Book % change is 2.95 or 7.43% but if we compare it with the Draw/Draw where Book % change is 2.55 or 17.86% and then Away/Away Book % Change is 0.36 or 5.36% and finally Away/Home Book % change is 2.43 or 70.41%.
So what is the best method for defining the best value and then putting that into a staking plan?
The system is HT/FT betting so i produce figures and then compare them to the market price and then decide what bets to place but i need some hard and fast rules.
So below are the figures for Sundays Arsenal v Stoke game
My Figs Betfair
Home/Home 2.72 (36.73) 2.52 (39.68)
Home/Draw 28 (3.57) 20 (5.00)
Home/Away 98 (1.02) 67.5 (1.48)
Draw/Home 4.17 (23.98) 5.2 (19.23)
Draw/Draw 5.94 (16.84) 7 (14.29)
Draw/Away 15.08(6.63) 17.75 (5.63)
Away/Home 98 (1.02) 29 (3.45)
Away/Draw 32.67(3.06) 22.5 (4.44)
Away/Away 14 (7.14) 14.75 (6.78)
If we take the Home/Home the Book % change is 2.95 or 7.43% but if we compare it with the Draw/Draw where Book % change is 2.55 or 17.86% and then Away/Away Book % Change is 0.36 or 5.36% and finally Away/Home Book % change is 2.43 or 70.41%.
So what is the best method for defining the best value and then putting that into a staking plan?