Is there a way to hedge an under/2.5 loss?

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
bdamir
Posts: 6
Joined: Sun Mar 20, 2022 2:13 am

I’ve tried something similar to your idea of hedging with under 0.5 early on, and yeah, in theory it cushions the blow if there's an early goal. The trick is managing the timings and odds so you’re not overexposed. But honestly, what’s helped me most is only trading when I can actually watch the game and feel focused.
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jamesedwards
Posts: 3806
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Brovashift wrote:
Thu Sep 23, 2021 12:39 pm
Hi,

I was trading the under/over 2.5 market yesterday and took a loss on the under 2.5 goals market after 3 goals were scored in the first half, and was wondering if there is a strategy to mitigate or lessen a trade that goes against you.

In hindsight I should've closed my position after the first goal, and could've scalped the under 4.5 market in the 2nd half to recoupe some losses, but was still the potential to lose again, double wammy! And my mind was not in a place to continue trading anyway. If I'm honest my mind wasn't in the right place before placing the first trade. Live and learn.

I was thining; if you back under 2.5 market at kick off e.g. @2.0, and lay the under 0.5 e.g. @1.5, if no goals are scored in your predefined timeline e.g. 10-20mins (depending on game play), I should be in more profit in the 2.5 market than my loss in the 0.5 market... In thoery. This is all in my head last night when trying to sleep, I've not tried any of this in practice mode or guardian.
If a goal is scored then the profit from the under 0.5 market should then limit the loss on the 2.5 market. This is not the best I know because there is still a loss.

There was a clear favourite last night who was the home team, which was my first mistake, jumping on the computer when I had some unexpected free time... 1min before kick off!
In the past I have chosen evenly matched teams with similar odds and low goal numbers per match, and traded in and out while watching the game for any risky situations i.e corners and close range free kicks. My favouite games are with refs who love the sound of their whistle and a lot of game play in the middle of the pitch where both teams seems to favoure throw-ins over using their feet lol.

Would like to hear peoples thoughts. :)
TIA
Surely the best answer for those wanting to reduce exposure on markets like this is to simply stake less in the first place?
thepressure
Posts: 201
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:01 am

jamesedwards wrote:
Sat May 03, 2025 6:01 pm
Brovashift wrote:
Thu Sep 23, 2021 12:39 pm
Hi,

I was trading the under/over 2.5 market yesterday and took a loss on the under 2.5 goals market after 3 goals were scored in the first half, and was wondering if there is a strategy to mitigate or lessen a trade that goes against you.

In hindsight I should've closed my position after the first goal, and could've scalped the under 4.5 market in the 2nd half to recoupe some losses, but was still the potential to lose again, double wammy! And my mind was not in a place to continue trading anyway. If I'm honest my mind wasn't in the right place before placing the first trade. Live and learn.

I was thining; if you back under 2.5 market at kick off e.g. @2.0, and lay the under 0.5 e.g. @1.5, if no goals are scored in your predefined timeline e.g. 10-20mins (depending on game play), I should be in more profit in the 2.5 market than my loss in the 0.5 market... In thoery. This is all in my head last night when trying to sleep, I've not tried any of this in practice mode or guardian.
If a goal is scored then the profit from the under 0.5 market should then limit the loss on the 2.5 market. This is not the best I know because there is still a loss.

There was a clear favourite last night who was the home team, which was my first mistake, jumping on the computer when I had some unexpected free time... 1min before kick off!
In the past I have chosen evenly matched teams with similar odds and low goal numbers per match, and traded in and out while watching the game for any risky situations i.e corners and close range free kicks. My favouite games are with refs who love the sound of their whistle and a lot of game play in the middle of the pitch where both teams seems to favoure throw-ins over using their feet lol.

Would like to hear peoples thoughts. :)
TIA
maybe, but maybe it helps people doing it this way, id love to know more about priing and odds etc

Surely the best answer for those wanting to reduce exposure on markets like this is to simply stake less in the first place?
thepressure
Posts: 201
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:01 am

I think there is a balance, id like to hedge even if its a placebo currently anyway whilst I learn the ropes

Id love some examples of this and what kinda of odds im looking for and stakes if anyone would kindly help?
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