Is there a way to hedge an under/2.5 loss?

[bdamir]

I’ve tried something similar to your idea of hedging with under 0.5 early on, and yeah, in theory it cushions the blow if there's an early goal. The trick is managing the timings and odds so you’re not overexposed. But honestly, what’s helped me most is only trading when I can actually watch the game and feel focused.

[jamesedwards]

Hi,

I was trading the under/over 2.5 market yesterday and took a loss on the under 2.5 goals market after 3 goals were scored in the first half, and was wondering if there is a strategy to mitigate or lessen a trade that goes against you.

In hindsight I should've closed my position after the first goal, and could've scalped the under 4.5 market in the 2nd half to recoupe some losses, but was still the potential to lose again, double wammy! And my mind was not in a place to continue trading anyway. If I'm honest my mind wasn't in the right place before placing the first trade. Live and learn.

I was thining; if you back under 2.5 market at kick off e.g. @2.0, and lay the under 0.5 e.g. @1.5, if no goals are scored in your predefined timeline e.g. 10-20mins (depending on game play), I should be in more profit in the 2.5 market than my loss in the 0.5 market... In thoery. This is all in my head last night when trying to sleep, I've not tried any of this in practice mode or guardian.
If a goal is scored then the profit from the under 0.5 market should then limit the loss on the 2.5 market. This is not the best I know because there is still a loss.

There was a clear favourite last night who was the home team, which was my first mistake, jumping on the computer when I had some unexpected free time... 1min before kick off!
In the past I have chosen evenly matched teams with similar odds and low goal numbers per match, and traded in and out while watching the game for any risky situations i.e corners and close range free kicks. My favouite games are with refs who love the sound of their whistle and a lot of game play in the middle of the pitch where both teams seems to favoure throw-ins over using their feet lol.

Would like to hear peoples thoughts.
TIA

Surely the best answer for those wanting to reduce exposure on markets like this is to simply stake less in the first place?

[thepressure]

Hi,

I was trading the under/over 2.5 market yesterday and took a loss on the under 2.5 goals market after 3 goals were scored in the first half, and was wondering if there is a strategy to mitigate or lessen a trade that goes against you.

In hindsight I should've closed my position after the first goal, and could've scalped the under 4.5 market in the 2nd half to recoupe some losses, but was still the potential to lose again, double wammy! And my mind was not in a place to continue trading anyway. If I'm honest my mind wasn't in the right place before placing the first trade. Live and learn.

I was thining; if you back under 2.5 market at kick off e.g. @2.0, and lay the under 0.5 e.g. @1.5, if no goals are scored in your predefined timeline e.g. 10-20mins (depending on game play), I should be in more profit in the 2.5 market than my loss in the 0.5 market... In thoery. This is all in my head last night when trying to sleep, I've not tried any of this in practice mode or guardian.
If a goal is scored then the profit from the under 0.5 market should then limit the loss on the 2.5 market. This is not the best I know because there is still a loss.

There was a clear favourite last night who was the home team, which was my first mistake, jumping on the computer when I had some unexpected free time... 1min before kick off!
In the past I have chosen evenly matched teams with similar odds and low goal numbers per match, and traded in and out while watching the game for any risky situations i.e corners and close range free kicks. My favouite games are with refs who love the sound of their whistle and a lot of game play in the middle of the pitch where both teams seems to favoure throw-ins over using their feet lol.

Would like to hear peoples thoughts.
TIA

maybe, but maybe it helps people doing it this way, id love to know more about priing and odds etc

Surely the best answer for those wanting to reduce exposure on markets like this is to simply stake less in the first place?

[thepressure]

I think there is a balance, id like to hedge even if its a placebo currently anyway whilst I learn the ropes

Id love some examples of this and what kinda of odds im looking for and stakes if anyone would kindly help?

[FTAcademy]

Hi,

I was trading the under/over 2.5 market yesterday and took a loss on the under 2.5 goals market after 3 goals were scored in the first half, and was wondering if there is a strategy to mitigate or lessen a trade that goes against you. Probably heard a lot of times, but still repeating it: You should know your exit point before entering the market. Also, if you don't action when the trade goes against you, you're not more than a gambler. And it is also the worst thing to do. Think about this - even odds, when you lose (~50% of the time) you are 1u loss, when you win (~50% of the time) you win way under 1u (because of commission and most probably you hedge your position before final whistle, so partial profit).

In hindsight I should've closed my position after the first goal, and could've scalped the under 4.5 market in the 2nd half to recoupe some losses, but was still the potential to lose again, double wammy! And my mind was not in a place to continue trading anyway. If I'm honest my mind wasn't in the right place before placing the first trade. Live and learn. I wouldn't do that. That's very bad for your bank! So, you hedge your position for a loss (let's say 0.5u) and then you go into other market to scalp and win that 0.5u. If you extract the commission, you have an overall loss. Why wouldn't you scalp in the same market and make use of your loss? Hope you understand what I mean. To give you a simple example from business - you have one company that had £1 mil loss this year and instead of working next year on the same company and make £1 mil and pay 0 tax (because overall you have no profit), you use a new company, make £1 mil and pay tax for the entire sum...

I was thining; if you back under 2.5 market at kick off e.g. @2.0, and lay the under 0.5 e.g. @1.5, if no goals are scored in your predefined timeline e.g. 10-20mins (depending on game play), I should be in more profit in the 2.5 market than my loss in the 0.5 market... In thoery. This is all in my head last night when trying to sleep, I've not tried any of this in practice mode or guardian.
If a goal is scored then the profit from the under 0.5 market should then limit the loss on the 2.5 market. This is not the best I know because there is still a loss. Again, I wouldn't trade different markets to cover one another

There was a clear favourite last night who was the home team, which was my first mistake, jumping on the computer when I had some unexpected free time... 1min before kick off!
In the past I have chosen evenly matched teams with similar odds and low goal numbers per match, and traded in and out while watching the game for any risky situations i.e corners and close range free kicks. My favouite games are with refs who love the sound of their whistle and a lot of game play in the middle of the pitch where both teams seems to favoure throw-ins over using their feet lol. That's a good approach and I would stick to that until I master it.

Would like to hear peoples thoughts.
TIA

Some of my thoughts embedded into your post, in case it still helps (maybe not you, but others). And it's what I'd do.