Quite a technical one for me
- jamesedwards
- Posts: 3948
- Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm
Yeah that's a fair comment to make tbf, I may reduce losing more over time If I can back on the way down, but with delays etc it could be tricker, or it could equally redirect and lose again. I think its just part of it, with some optimising knowing a few tricks learnt over time, would work out in the long run. I see it happen every day, its just figuring out a way to extract the profit from it...jamesedwards wrote: ↑Tue Jun 17, 2025 3:05 pmTricky. I suppose it's not possible to catch it as it comes back down due to the delay.
You'd have to delve into in-running historical data to try and find the optimum.
- jamesedwards
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- Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm
I was thinking about this last night. It's not the size of the price spike you need to be predicting; it's the marker of an impending spike, and the optimal timing between the marker and the spike max.
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- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 10373
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
An alt take would be to keep offers a long way from the current price so they are there when the spike hits. Hard part is how far away and how quickly to refresh them. Too fast and you're always moving away, too slow and adverse selection gets you. But James is spot on, you don't want to try and react to what's already happened and need to preempt it. .
One sign a price might suddenly pop is multiple consecutive matches on just one side on a fairly chunky available. As soon as that's gone the price often smashes through it.
One sign a price might suddenly pop is multiple consecutive matches on just one side on a fairly chunky available. As soon as that's gone the price often smashes through it.
Thanks a really nice illustration there James, nice work. And you're totally correct. Thats now I've set mine up, however, I've set 5 seperate bots, which take 10 ticks below BP, BP, 10 TICKS ABOVE BP and 20 ABP AND 30 ABPjamesedwards wrote: ↑Wed Jun 18, 2025 2:46 pmI was thinking about this last night. It's not the size of the price spike you need to be predicting; it's the marker of an impending spike, and the optimal timing between the marker and the spike max.
z157.jpg
I'm just trailling this with 3ps atm tho, but seems to be working
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