The Open Golf Championship 2025
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Considering where Dechambeau was on Friday, to see his name on the mini leaderboard is remarkable.
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In fact, if the tournament were run from Fri - current Dechambeau would be 3 shots clear of Scheffler at the top
TupleVision wrote: ↑Sun Jul 20, 2025 2:05 pmYour GPT table only shows what the leader's score was after 3 rounds. It doesn't show how many shots they led by.
Lots of missing data
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The “Without Scheffler” market has been pretty good.
That was really the only play on the last day. Never the same volume as the main market.
Would this strategy have worked on The Open?
Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
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On the winner w/o Scheffler market yes, but very poor liquidity, I think only a few hundred thousand matched over the 4 days.gstar1975 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pmWould this strategy have worked on The Open?
Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
On the outright winner market no, you're ideally looking for the lead to change hands a few times with that approach, a bit like lay the field in horse racing, you're looking for the market to think it's going to be a close call.
...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:
Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
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Total £262
I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
Scheffler pretty much dominated the tournament from day one to the finish. So everybody else drifted, almost without exception. You need a close tournament and preferably bad weather. But that didn't happen at the Open.gstar1975 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pmWould this strategy have worked on The Open?
Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
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You did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.Tuco wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:
Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262
I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
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I modified a bot I use to provide alerts (never ran it on a golf tourney) & it did 5,500 trades. Ended with a margin over the 4 days of 0.003% or (as I like to think of it) as 30% of capital risked - onwards .....TupleVision wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:52 pmYou did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.Tuco wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:
Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262
I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
(also worked on the Barracuda tournament which was running at the same time, although heehaw liquidity there)
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Not a bad idea. You could probably modify the "fill the gap servant" for something like golf tournaments I'd imagine. I just can't be arsed collecting the data to see if it'll work.sionascaig wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 3:16 pmI modified a bot I use to provide alerts (never ran it on a golf tourney) & it did 5,500 trades. Ended with a margin over the 4 days of 0.003% or (as I like to think of it) as 30% of capital risked - onwards .....TupleVision wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:52 pmYou did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.Tuco wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm
...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:
Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262
I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
(also worked on the Barracuda tournament which was running at the same time, although heehaw liquidity there)