The Open Golf Championship 2025

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TupleVision
Posts: 114
Joined: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:19 pm

Considering where Dechambeau was on Friday, to see his name on the mini leaderboard is remarkable.
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Tuco
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Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

...all over after the 1st hole today :(
TupleVision
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Joined: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:19 pm

In fact, if the tournament were run from Fri - current Dechambeau would be 3 shots clear of Scheffler at the top
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gstar1975
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Joined: Thu Nov 24, 2011 11:59 am

TupleVision wrote:
Sun Jul 20, 2025 2:05 pm
gstar1975 wrote:
Sun Jul 20, 2025 1:58 pm
henbet22 wrote:
Sun Jul 20, 2025 1:31 pm
Not that relevant without how much they are leading by tbh
This is the data that Peter is looking at. So I think it might a a bit of relevance.
Your GPT table only shows what the leader's score was after 3 rounds. It doesn't show how many shots they led by.

Lots of missing data

Screenshot 2025-07-20 at 15-40-36 No –10 leader wins.png
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gstar1975
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Has anyone got the data from before the cut of the lowest prices each player went? and are willing to share? Please.
Lynskey888
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The “Without Scheffler” market has been pretty good.
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Euler
Posts: 26417
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Lynskey888 wrote:
Sun Jul 20, 2025 6:26 pm
The “Without Scheffler” market has been pretty good.
That was really the only play on the last day. Never the same volume as the main market.
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Kai
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Nice to see so much interest in a niche sport like golf, none of the previous threads in the past went past page 2

Almost wish I had time to have a look at the market as well
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gstar1975
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Would this strategy have worked on The Open?

Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
TupleVision
Posts: 114
Joined: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:19 pm

gstar1975 wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pm
Would this strategy have worked on The Open?

Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
On the winner w/o Scheffler market yes, but very poor liquidity, I think only a few hundred thousand matched over the 4 days.

On the outright winner market no, you're ideally looking for the lead to change hands a few times with that approach, a bit like lay the field in horse racing, you're looking for the market to think it's going to be a close call.
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Tuco
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Euler wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 8:34 am
That was really the only play on the last day. Never the same volume as the main market.
...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:

Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262

I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

gstar1975 wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pm
Would this strategy have worked on The Open?

Try to lay more than 2 below 2.0, lay 3 below 3.0, etc


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNU_SI1BD5A
Scheffler pretty much dominated the tournament from day one to the finish. So everybody else drifted, almost without exception. You need a close tournament and preferably bad weather. But that didn't happen at the Open.
TupleVision
Posts: 114
Joined: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:19 pm

Tuco wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm
Euler wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 8:34 am
That was really the only play on the last day. Never the same volume as the main market.
...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:

Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262

I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
You did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.
sionascaig
Posts: 1632
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

TupleVision wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:52 pm
Tuco wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm
Euler wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 8:34 am
That was really the only play on the last day. Never the same volume as the main market.
...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:

Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262

I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
You did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.
I modified a bot I use to provide alerts (never ran it on a golf tourney) & it did 5,500 trades. Ended with a margin over the 4 days of 0.003% or (as I like to think of it) as 30% of capital risked - onwards .....

(also worked on the Barracuda tournament which was running at the same time, although heehaw liquidity there)
TupleVision
Posts: 114
Joined: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:19 pm

sionascaig wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 3:16 pm
TupleVision wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:52 pm
Tuco wrote:
Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:38 pm

...poor returns on this one for me. I didn't trade all the hours of each of the 4 days but my outright winner P&L was approx:

Day 1) +98
Day 2) +30
Day 3) +112
Day 4) +22
-------------------
Total £262

I would love to watch Peter trade a few hours of one of the Golf Majors!
You did better than I did. I had 2 lays the entire tournament, one on Fitzpatrick at 5.2 and greened at 6.6. The other on Scheffler at 1.77 and greened at 2.08. in FOUR days of golf. Scheffler just ruined it for me really.
I modified a bot I use to provide alerts (never ran it on a golf tourney) & it did 5,500 trades. Ended with a margin over the 4 days of 0.003% or (as I like to think of it) as 30% of capital risked - onwards .....

(also worked on the Barracuda tournament which was running at the same time, although heehaw liquidity there)
Not a bad idea. You could probably modify the "fill the gap servant" for something like golf tournaments I'd imagine. I just can't be arsed collecting the data to see if it'll work.
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