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Cheltenham Festival 2026
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evertonian
- Posts: 85
- Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 10:34 am
How accurate is the Racing Post Betting Forecast when trading Cheltenham?
As they are big races, form is key therefore the Racing Post Betting forecast should be pretty accurate ?
For example, if some horses on Betfair are shorter than the Racing Post forecast price are they likely to drift and vice versa?
Or is it just down to market sentiment where the price is going to go?
Grateful for any input to this. Thanks in advance.
As they are big races, form is key therefore the Racing Post Betting forecast should be pretty accurate ?
For example, if some horses on Betfair are shorter than the Racing Post forecast price are they likely to drift and vice versa?
Or is it just down to market sentiment where the price is going to go?
Grateful for any input to this. Thanks in advance.
The thing to be aware of is that these will most likely be bookmaker prices with giant overrounds built in. As a consequence, they won't be comparable to Betfair prices because Betfair prices can move well out of bounds and still be within these overrounds.
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wearthefoxhat
- Posts: 3686
- Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am
evertonian wrote: ↑Mon Mar 09, 2026 8:45 pmHow accurate is the Racing Post Betting Forecast when trading Cheltenham?
As they are big races, form is key therefore the Racing Post Betting forecast should be pretty accurate ?
For example, if some horses on Betfair are shorter than the Racing Post forecast price are they likely to drift and vice versa?
Or is it just down to market sentiment where the price is going to go?
Grateful for any input to this. Thanks in advance.
Reckon the betting forecast can be used in conjunction with your overall assessment of a race, especially if a runner is 50% shorter in the live market when compared to the betting forecast. Only thing is, the value prices would have gone, but that might not be important to you.
You'd have to watch out for any significant non-runner that would naturally make the betting forecast out of date, then you'd have to apply a rule 4 to them to bring them into line.
A drift can some times be a gift, as the live market doesn't always get it right.
Are BF Broadcasting Pictures?? Couldn't get anything, Nice Trade on Mighty Park Pre Off in the first, Mullins Brigade had some thoughts like me 
and Backed from 9.4 i got out at 8.6, the stake i used would never do that on normal market at those prices 
and Backed from 9.4 i got out at 8.6, the stake i used would never do that on normal market at those prices