Welsh elections value bet?

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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tico
Posts: 188
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

Hi all,
At the moment the Senedd election betting for most seats gives Plaid Cymru 4/7 and Reform party at 7/2.I am not too sure that those prices represent anything near reality .Labour who have controlled the Senedd almost since it's inception are 80/1 and greens 250/1, so it looks like they are the outsiders.
I personally anticipate a Reform landslide in Wales and will (again) be quite happy if I lose my wager.
The Scots are having none of this reform stuff and the SNP are 1/41 to win....no value there then :roll:
The local elections (councils) see Reform as outright winners at 1/33 again no value there. :roll:
WorraFeckinMess
Kind Regards
Tico
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tico
Posts: 188
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

Reform are available at 6s (7) on BF/No volatility though and Plaid are at 1.15 (.15).So if you fancy earning 15% on your investment this could be just the job.As I speak there are reasonable volumes on both.
I am still not too sure why Plaid are such a short price ,as far as I can see nothing is certain but Reform are definately the value.
Regards
tico
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tico
Posts: 188
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

Hi Folks,
Interesting stuff happening for the welsh Senedd elections overnight with the Industry bookies.Reform out to 9/2 from 7/2 yesterday and Plaid Cymru at 1/5 ,this means for Plaid there has been just over 20% increase in applied probability since yesterday.All rather amazing when there still hasn't been any significent indicators that suggest Plaid are going to walk it ,or even that they will get more than just a handful of seats.I live in hope of being proven wrong ,but I really do think at worst Reform will walk it and at best there could be a hung Senedd.
Kinders
Tico
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