The easiest lay you'll ever get.....

[Fugazi]

Curacao currently 60-1 on the exchange vs Germany


I don't see how they could ever win this game??

I mean of course keeper gets sent off first minute type event. Even then still don't think they could. 60-1 seems an obvious lay??

[jamesedwards]

Iraq were 60.0 to beat Spain this evening and drew 1-1.

[jamesedwards]

And Ivory Coast have just won 2-1 away in France, despite trading at 20.0 at kick-off and as high as 70.0 in-play.

[Fugazi]

Iraq were 60.0 to beat Spain this evening and drew 1-1.

But they didn't beat them... and that wasn't the WC...

And curaco aren't Iraq

I don't think it could NEVER happen. just more like 500-1. I guess that's the good thing about these kind of markets. Lack of data so there are some 2005 type easy pickings to be had / nobody REALLY knows. Hard to factor in the kind of motivation the World Cup can give a team. I remember a few world cups ago New Zealand were the only unbeaten team.

[weemac]

If you think it's 500/1, yet the collective valuation of all other punters, including the most experienced professionals with the best models, is 60/1, who do you think is more likely to be correct, and why? Do you have knowledge that no-one else has?

Can you not find a better, quicker and easier way to deploy £600 to win a tenner? (less commission)

I do know that Germany are much weaker compared to past incarnations, and Curacao dominated Scotland for 45 mins last week before collapsing.

[tryingtotrade]

They smoked Scotland the other day, better team for most of the match

[Fugazi]

If you think it's 500/1, yet the collective valuation of all other punters, including the most experienced professionals with the best models, is 60/1, who do you think is more likely to be correct, and why? Do you have knowledge that no-one else has?

Can you not find a better, quicker and easier way to deploy £600 to win a tenner? (less commission)

I do know that Germany are much weaker compared to past incarnations, and Curacao dominated Scotland for 45 mins last week before collapsing.

I'm exaggerating, and won't be taking 60-1 as I don't have the funds needed to make it worthwhile punting on

But don't agree it's an efficient market. Sure it's probably in the 40 to 100-1 ballpark but you can't really model a team that's never even been to a WC that accurately