Champions league

[CaerMyrddin]

Hi LeTiss, Garay, Jardel and Miguel Vitor are injured. This morning a test was run on Luisão and he was declared unfit to play.

You can check it here:

http://www.record.xl.pt/Futebol/Naciona ... _id=749876

Although I guess you won't understand much?

Tbh, I can't tell why Chelsea's odd continues to drift...

[CaerMyrddin]

I put it through Google Translator and made a couple of changes:


"Luisão will not face Chelsea tonight at Stamford Bridge.

Record has found thaht, the central defender failed the exam conducted in the English capital this morning, he still had a large swelling on his left knee which led the medical team Benfica to vetoe the use of the captain in the match against the blues.

Thus, increasing the headaches of Jorge Jesus and everything points to the central defender duo will be formed by Javi García and Emerson, two adjustments, leaving the left wing of the defense delivered to Capdevila."

Benfica's odd has nowhere to go now. We will still be a dangerous side attacking, but our defence will be really soft and I can't see it displaying a decent line to play the offside trap.

Over's got more value Imho.

[enzabella2009]

I Hate to say this, but I would like to see Chelsea going throw 2nite. If Farcelona play the same as they did vs Ac Milan and without sone scandales referee decision, I think Chelsea can beat them over the 2 legs.
Benfica has played very well in the group stage but was too defeatist last week, as if they did not want to go through. If I had too choose, reluctantly, for the benefit of spectacle, I have to choose an English side...


I have almost feel sick after I wrote this.....

[enzabella2009]

Where did you hear that?

If that's true, expect Chelsea to shorten a number of ticks over the next 5 hours

My experience saying the odds should shorten anyway. I will happy to close between 1,66 1,7 but don't take my advice as often with a portuguese team I was surprised and never fully understood some of the movements until caerdmyrddin told me about some portuguese syndicates. I hope they finished to push around and leave the odds go their way. If not, well what can I do?...I will close in red..

[Euler]

Chelsea's odds are drifting, work that one out!

[ciangerry]

The news hasn't filtered through to the wider market yet. Maybe it will take a couple of hours to do so.

[enzabella2009]

Chelsea's odds are drifting, work that one out!

On my rent they did not drift at all. There was a drifting all day but my entry point was between 1,8 and 1,81 so I am still ok.

[ciangerry]

The market is responding to the news now, although I thought Chelsea were value at 1.8, regardless of the Benfica team news, so its probably a mix of a point of resistance being reached and the news.

[CaerMyrddin]

Got a decent (according to my standards) amount matched @1.82, what was brilliant, as it was the highest point.

Sometimes you have to wonder what the markets are all about. I had this info since 12:00, but kept being pushed out of my positions over and over again, having to scratch them, or take small losses.

Mr Webb's post on the blog might have done the trick. Thank you

I had a hard call to make on this game, trade it or enjoy it. It's been 20 years since Benfica had a change to fight for a place in a CL semi final but in the other hand the high liquidity and the 5 seconds delay on the IP orders were a bonus.

Not proud to admit, as I should maybe be more professional, but in the end, I decided to trade it only prelive, and let the cork pop during the game.

I'm not very confident, but I sincerely hope Cardozo will pull one of his tricks. I've put small stakes on both 3-1 and 1-3, just for fun, but I'll asses it in HT to see if there is any value in it.

[LeTiss]

Nice call CaerMyrddin!

Got matched at 1.80, still waiting to trade out

[CaerMyrddin]

Right now seems like a got time to trade out? I've closing gradually.

Glad I could help turn a profit. Cheers and good luck!

[enzabella2009]

Not bad for a girl isn't. I have just closed all my positions @ 1,7 and 1,69 with one hour to go. I was not counting of the news I just new but with portuguise team sometimes you can be wrong...I can sleep well 2nite...

Chelsea's odds are drifting, work that one out!

On my rent they did not drift at all. There was a drifting all day but my entry point was between 1,8 and 1,81 so I am still ok.

Where did you hear that?

If that's true, expect Chelsea to shorten a number of ticks over the next 5 hours

My experience saying the odds should shorten anyway. I will happy to close between 1,66 1,7 but don't take my advice as often with a portuguese team I was surprised and never fully understood some of the movements until caerdmyrddin told me about some portuguese syndicates. I hope they finished to push around and leave the odds go their way. If not, well what can I do?...I will close in red..

[Euler]

That was a really nice call guys!

[BennyBlanco]

Not sure what do go for on this! Who is doing what?

[Euler]

I'm waiting to watch the first half for a bit before risking anything inplay. I sort of get the feeling that because Chelsea have done the hard bit they may make a meal of this second leg.