Aintree 2:30 - wrong prices!!

The sport of kings.
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JollyGreen
Posts: 2047
Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am

Sorry this is late but we have 20 minutes before the start. Why is Grumeti 4.7 Dodging Bullets 4.1 and yet Countrywide Flame 6.2?

The latter beat the other two fair and square so why are they ahead of him in the market? Dare I say it based on the trainer and jockey combinations. I advised Grumeti in the Triumph Hurdle and okay so perhaps he will improve a bit (he had an injury scare prior to Cheltenham) for that run but he shouldn't be shorter than his conqueror.

As for Dodging Bullets, he was even further behind in the Triumph Hurdle yet he's even shorter! Yes, I know horses can improve and there could be excuses for their last run but you cannot bet based on if and maybe!

I think there has to value in the price of Countrywide Flame! He looks an each way steal to me ;)

JG
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JollyGreen
Posts: 2047
Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am

Close but no cigar!

I traded Countrywide Flame in running at 1.20 and it went 1.12!! Grumeti did improve for the run at Cheltenham and he was a worthy winner. Quite why Dodging Bullets was the favourite is beyond me; I think he's still running :shock: :shock:
PeterLe
Posts: 3727
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 3:19 pm

Bloody Hell - I missed that..I was having a brew in the garden! :D
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