Champions League 2012/13

[Euler]

1.20 according to our data

[giulio2010]

Barcelona vs Celtic HW 1.1
The odds could shorten to 1.09, 1.08..
Bate Borisov vs Valencia AW 2.08
The odds for the AW win seems too short. Valencia does not have a good reputation in europe in order to back them at 2.08.
FC Nordsj Vs Juventus 1.4 AW
For many experts the odds seems too short but, for me are just about right. If back them 100 I win 40 which is a good return....Many saying that FC Nordsj play a very good football but if you look at their last 2 champions league games they have conceeded 6 goals and dropped in form during both games. Apparantly FC Nordsj are playing on their rival ground..
Galatasaray vs CFR Cluj HW 1.58. 7.2 AW 4.3 Draw
I don't know what will happen with this odds but I can say that CFR Cluj is not doing too well at the moment..The Galatasary supporters can really give that extra to the team.I may be happy to lay CFR Cluj around 6.0 to lower (in play).
Lille vs Bayern Munich AW 1.49
I have little doubts that Bayern Munich will beat Lille, the only problem is that Lille playing at home and with no pressure whatsofever..In this game I will back Bayern munich in play, hoping to get better odds then 1,49 which is bit shorter then I expected...
Man Utd vs Braga HW 1.45
The odds seems just about right..Some experts fear that Braga may be a hard opponent to beat but looking at their latest defence record ( mainly their Home record) they have some defensive problem similar of Man utd if not worse..Man utd in the other hand have an outstanding attack. Van Persie ( one of the best sign of the year in Europe) and Rooney can really hurt Braga tonight. The only uncertainty is the fact that Braga may pull out a good performance in an away game as the below record suggest.
07/10/12 (h) Olhanense 4-4 D
02/10/12 (a) Galatasaray 0-2 W
28/09/12 (a) Guimaraes 0-2 W
23/09/12 (h) Rio Ave 4-1 W
19/09/12 (h) CFR Cluj-Napoca 0-2 L

Man Utd last 5 matches (most recent first):
20/10/12 (h) Stoke 4-2 W
07/10/12 (a) Newcastle 0-3 W
02/10/12 (a) CFR Cluj-Napoca 1-2 W
29/09/12 (h) Tottenham 2-3 L
26/09/12 (h) Newcastle 2-1 W
Man Utd last five games: scored 13 vs 7 conceed
Braga last five games: scored 12 vs 7 conceed

Shaktar vs Chelsea HW 2,38 AW 3.3 Draw 3.55
Shaktar is a real strong opponent they have an outstanding record at home but 2.38 vs 3.3 of chelsea does not seems right.. Chelsea is even more attractive then last year so in my opinion they odds for HW and AW should be a bit more balanced if not equal.
Chelsea last 5 games:
Chelsea last 5 matches (most recent first):
20/10/12 (a) Tottenham 2-4 W
06/10/12 (h) Norwich 4-1 W
02/10/12 (a) FC Nordsjaelland 0-4 W
29/09/12 (a) Arsenal 1-2 W
25/09/12 (h) Wolves 6-0 W
I d like to see shaktar beating Chelsea but I must say as betting point of view Laying Shaktar at 2.38 is a very good price so I am going lay them and support Chelsea..
Spartak Moscow vs Benfica HW 3.00
Benfica is my opinion is one of the unwanted opponent that your favorite team can play against. They play very solid football e they are very tactical to take points away. The draw would be a reasonable result for Benfica. As for Spartak Moscow last time they won a game was the 21st august 2012. I will be happy to lay them at 3.00...Even If I lose money over this I am 100% conviced is a good lay opportunity..

P.S.
The source of this post is very personal and does not want to induce anyone to bet on my choices or advertise a product. I hope it's just a good starting point to for a discussion among the members of this forum for tonight games..

[Euler]

Just been doing the maths on tonights games. I reckon around 24 goals will be scored tonight, on average.

[CaerMyrddin]

Hi Giulio, I wouldn't be so confident, maybe you should watch the game first and then make up your mind? Can see a lot of minus regarding Benfica.

It is cold in Moscow, south americans don't like it

[giulio2010]

Hi Giulio, I wouldn't be so confident, maybe you should watch the game first and then make up your mind? Can see a lot of minus regarding Benfica.

It is cold in Moscow, south americans don't like it

My bets are going to be placed mainly in Play...but 2-3 games I have decided to place Before the game and Benfica is one of them...It does not bother me if I lose..It's part of the game..

[CaerMyrddin]

Well, I warned you, there was much more value in Spartak's odd than on Benfica's.

[giulio2010]

The value can change during the game...However the Benfica I know would do as much they could to draw the game but not this time and nothing to do with the cold because from the 60th minute on, the cold was not a problem anymore...Perhaps you support Porto.. ..
Thanks for the warning, I really appreciate that but never forget that between the 1st half and the start of the second half things can turn in profit like magic on those wealthy markets....Ofc if Benfica would have draw between the 46th and the 80th minute the profit would have been much higher..

Well, I warned you, there was much more value in Spartak's odd than on Benfica's.

[CaerMyrddin]

Well done, you grabed a nice profit even though you had an inicial bad position.

Your mentor should have told, I'm a big Benfica supporter, right now I'm wearing a Benfica jersey!

So, I know the team very well and the losses of Javi Garcia and Alex Witsel in September killed that team that could have played a tactical game last season. With Luisão suspended and a short squad, I thought our chances were slim since the start..

[Euler]

Good start for Man U, 0-1 down after 90 seconds!

[Euler]

Chelsea down after 3 mins.

[giulio2010]

Chelsea down after 3 mins.

Good start for Man U, 0-1 down after 90 seconds!

I thought our chances were slim since the start..

Ok with man utd and Chelsea down after 5 minutes is very clear you must do the opposite I say...

[werewolf]

Feel theres no value on man united at evens still !!

[CaerMyrddin]

Go Celtic!

Braga are playing really well, but until when?

[CaerMyrddin]

0-2!!

[Euler]

What a night we have so far!

Braga 2-0 up at United. Long way back.