Lay the draw with even insurance

[winn]

Hello forum, i will show this method, let me know if in your opinion we can earn money using it in the long term.
Simply we create a negative surebet laying 100£ draw at 3,4 and backing 179£ even at 1,9
When the first goal is scored we have an all green in the match odds market.
If the match end 0-0 we lose 79£ only.

[MVV]

hi,

If the underdog scores a goal, the draw odds will drop because the market thinks they will score.

[MVV]

sorry i mean the market things that the favorite will score and therefor the odds will drop and you lose money despite a goal has been scored

[convoysur-2]

you need a market where the teams are both around the same sp.eg 3,25 and a high expectancy of a goal ,so back 0-0 at around 13-14/1 ,,,this is your insurance,when a goal is scored you will green up for a small profit no matter what u cant lose,,but better green up before the other team equalises or your screwed...
Marc