Most preferable system

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gazuty
Posts: 2557
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

Zenyatta wrote: "Poker is all about people who think they're favourites when they're not", Dwan told me. "People can have some pretty deluded views on poker."

And from Darse Billings: "There is no other game that I know of where humans are so smug, and think that they just play like wizards, and then play so badly,", he told me. "Basically it's because they don't know anything, and think they must be Godlike, and the truth is that they aren't."
Or as others might say ...... Fooled by randomness
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

Ferru123 wrote:If you haven't done so, it might be worth doing a statistical test (such as Chi squared), to see whether that could realistically be due to randomness.

Jeff
Never done something like that. I'm not a beta either (master degree in law). I'm going to try it before next weekend. We'll see...
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

Zenyatta wrote:...It really shows how tough online poker nowadays...remember Nate is a mathematical genius and even he can't win at poker online any more.
Well....I've played poker online for a few years on a good level. But Poker isn't all about mathematical decicions. It's also about judging your opponent and your opinion on how your opponent reacts on certain moves (bets).

But I agree. Poker is a lot tougher nowadays.
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

Charon wrote:
Ferru123 wrote:If you haven't done so, it might be worth doing a statistical test (such as Chi squared), to see whether that could realistically be due to randomness.

Jeff
Never done something like that. I'm not a beta either (master degree in law). I'm going to try it before next weekend. We'll see...
Okay I've read some information on the internet. The programm SPSS is very useful I found out. But then what...is there anyone who could get me on the right track?
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

Charon wrote:Okay I've read some information on the internet. The programm SPSS is very useful I found out. But then what...is there anyone who could get me on the right track?
Anyone? :? I really can't get a start (Chi Test). What data is useful?
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

It's possible to create a spreadsheet that does the Chi test (as I once did it), although it is a bit fiddley...

Jeff
Charon wrote: Anyone? :? I really can't get a start (Chi Test). What data is useful?
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

Ferru123 wrote:It's possible to create a spreadsheet that does the Chi test (as I once did it), although it is a bit fiddley...

Jeff
Charon wrote: Anyone? :? I really can't get a start (Chi Test). What data is useful?
That part isn't the problem. The problem is: which data do I put in?
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

As I recall, you simply put in the Betfair odds of the outcome for each bet and the actual outcome.

Jeff
Charon
Posts: 70
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 1:09 pm

I will post an update once in a while. First 9 matches went well :)

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