Got a few lay-to-back tonight at York:
3.35 - Morocco - Raised 9lb after his latest win, where he beat a horse rated 52. I actually backed this horse last time but today's field is full of quality including Bank On Me, Barren Brook and Arc Light to name a few, will surely drift from 11/2, have him quoted about 8/1.
4.05 - Pearl Spice - Up 3lb from an unplaced effort over 1m 4f. He is relatively unexposed but comes up against the older horses here and I believe the booking of Moore has shortened his price even more. Recent Beverley winner Body Language comes off a win over the same distance, whose form has been franked with the win off Platinum (C2 - 38K race). I also like the formline of Eagle Rock and Flashman (Course winner which is very important at York)
Hope you trade well today - good luck!
Horse Racing Trading Tips
As predicted Morocco drifted, but was surprised to see Pearl Spice firm (I was unable to stay up last night but I am going by BSP - I live in Aus).
Anyways, got a couple for tonight that I really like, again I'm unable to stay up but if anyone could post the graphs pre-race, that would be awesome.
5.00 - Lambert Pen - Back-to-Lay - Ran very well last time out in a nice race (RP comments says it wasn't a great race - I don't believe that) - comes down 3lb in the weights and the favourite to me doesn't look very strong and jockey booking looks significant but they only have won 1/16.
5.30 - Cape Crossing - Back-to-Lay - Admittedly, this horse is against it at the weights as Murphy doesn't claim 7lbs anymore plus the 2lb weight the horse has received. However, the form has been superb with the 3rd horse winning a Salisbury C5 but 7 lengths, and with the horse being backed from 9/2 to 9/4f last start, he looks to improving quickly.
Good luck trading again, have a good one.
Anyways, got a couple for tonight that I really like, again I'm unable to stay up but if anyone could post the graphs pre-race, that would be awesome.
5.00 - Lambert Pen - Back-to-Lay - Ran very well last time out in a nice race (RP comments says it wasn't a great race - I don't believe that) - comes down 3lb in the weights and the favourite to me doesn't look very strong and jockey booking looks significant but they only have won 1/16.
5.30 - Cape Crossing - Back-to-Lay - Admittedly, this horse is against it at the weights as Murphy doesn't claim 7lbs anymore plus the 2lb weight the horse has received. However, the form has been superb with the 3rd horse winning a Salisbury C5 but 7 lengths, and with the horse being backed from 9/2 to 9/4f last start, he looks to improving quickly.
Good luck trading again, have a good one.
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convoysur-2
- Posts: 1110
- Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am
i didnt get u a graph but lambert pearl went off at about 3.60...went straight out the back never traded lower than sp..
Marc
Marc
3.50 - Leicester - Nautilus - Lay-to-Back - Didn't like this horse last time when he went round a silly price against some ok horses. However, he is up against better quality opposition today and has been raised 7lb by the handicapper. I think any of the other 5 could take this out, all are in-form and have been running in better graded races. Already drifted and expect it to continue.
5.40 - Beverley - Bondi Beach Boy - Lay-to-Back - This horse has come from a rating of 46 on its first run of the season to a mark of 82 now. It seems he doesn't know how to run a bad race but has been beating poor opposition and is up against C2-3 horses today. The next 3 in the market, Avon Breeze, Singeur and Hadaj come here in very good form and all have favourable draws. Time to get beat I think.
Again good luck trading and have a profitable day.
5.40 - Beverley - Bondi Beach Boy - Lay-to-Back - This horse has come from a rating of 46 on its first run of the season to a mark of 82 now. It seems he doesn't know how to run a bad race but has been beating poor opposition and is up against C2-3 horses today. The next 3 in the market, Avon Breeze, Singeur and Hadaj come here in very good form and all have favourable draws. Time to get beat I think.
Again good luck trading and have a profitable day.
2.50 - Carlisle - Obboorr - Back-to-Lay - Form is outstanding, been running in very competitive races. The obvious danger is Red Charmer but the rest of the field don't offer much. I'm a little bit concerned Swinbank's has been backed as they can sometimes have huge gambles.
4.10 - Doncaster - Out Of Bounds - Lay-to-Back - Been racing on the tepeta in low-grade races, I have him rated about a 9/1 chance here. Sire is renowned for winners on the dirt and progeny has proved very ineffective on the turf. IMO, I believe he will finish last.
4.35 - Carlisle - All Talk N No Do - Back-to-Lay - In his second run at Sandown, the winner has since won 2/2 including a Listed race, and the 5 horses in behind have each won a race except one who finished second at Salisbury. Key booking of Graham Lee and Durack has been to Carlisle once and won it as well. I don't like the form of the other two favourites so if he runs to his form, he surely wins this.
Good luck and have fun!
4.10 - Doncaster - Out Of Bounds - Lay-to-Back - Been racing on the tepeta in low-grade races, I have him rated about a 9/1 chance here. Sire is renowned for winners on the dirt and progeny has proved very ineffective on the turf. IMO, I believe he will finish last.
4.35 - Carlisle - All Talk N No Do - Back-to-Lay - In his second run at Sandown, the winner has since won 2/2 including a Listed race, and the 5 horses in behind have each won a race except one who finished second at Salisbury. Key booking of Graham Lee and Durack has been to Carlisle once and won it as well. I don't like the form of the other two favourites so if he runs to his form, he surely wins this.
Good luck and have fun!
Going by the flucs in the bookmakers odds and BSP, Godolphin's drifted quite a lot, Obboorr stayed relatively the same, and All Talk N No Do firmed a lot early but drifted a little towards the start of the race as the money came for Winston's.
Clean sweep yesterday which is good to see. These are for today:
2.30 - Sandown - Yaakooum - Lay-to-Back
7.00 - Wolverhampton - Limegrove - Lay-to-Back
8.00 - Wolverhampton - Stomachion - Lay-to-Back
Good luck and hope you pull some profits trading today!
2.30 - Sandown - Yaakooum - Lay-to-Back
7.00 - Wolverhampton - Limegrove - Lay-to-Back
8.00 - Wolverhampton - Stomachion - Lay-to-Back
Good luck and hope you pull some profits trading today!
Another clean sweep yesterday and I am going to have a go for myself tonight. Here they are:
2.15 - Aspirant - Lay-to-Back
2.55 - Cameron Highland - Back-to-Lay
3.50 - Excess Knowledge - Lay-to-Back
4.00 - North Pole - Lay-to-Back
4.15 - Tullia - Back-to-Lay
5.20 - Mar Mar - Back-to-Lay
5.30 - Oh So Sassy - Back-to-Lay
6.05 - Ascription - Lay-to-Back
Again, good luck and hope you profit.
2.15 - Aspirant - Lay-to-Back
2.55 - Cameron Highland - Back-to-Lay
3.50 - Excess Knowledge - Lay-to-Back
4.00 - North Pole - Lay-to-Back
4.15 - Tullia - Back-to-Lay
5.20 - Mar Mar - Back-to-Lay
5.30 - Oh So Sassy - Back-to-Lay
6.05 - Ascription - Lay-to-Back
Again, good luck and hope you profit.