I didn't know how to edit the name so here is a new thread.
I had visitors over for the weekend so I didn't get to do much except drink beer. I layed Freo early in the week but not much got matched before they drifted. The problem with entertaining visitors, getting side tracked. I never closed out and greened up, so a loss instead of a win there.
The bombers 1.03, went out to 1.25 half way through the second quarter. That would have been easy money.
The line was over 90 points in that game which I usually take, good teams wont risk injuring players for a big score line, if they have a good lead going into the last quarter they take the foot off the pedel.
Big game Friday night, last four head to head were all over 200 points, 201,219,226,237. I wonder how high they will set the under/over market.
Aussie Rules 2013
Looks like a ripper game tonight. Bet365 posted the over/under at 202.5 on Tuesday, that got smacked and it's now at the 207.5/208.5 with everyone. I still think this is low.
Interesting game for the last two undefeted teams with some tricky stats to work off. Essendon have won the third and fourth quarter in all there games (3/3/6/6), Geelong have won every third quarter (2/3/6/3).
Ess have had an easier start to the season and have just played GWS, teams have a bad habit of not backing up after playing the easy beats. It should be a high scoring game and I'm looking to get some leverage with that. Also hoping to get matched at 1.77, I reckon they will shorten right up close to the off.
Geelong by 18.
Interesting game for the last two undefeted teams with some tricky stats to work off. Essendon have won the third and fourth quarter in all there games (3/3/6/6), Geelong have won every third quarter (2/3/6/3).
Ess have had an easier start to the season and have just played GWS, teams have a bad habit of not backing up after playing the easy beats. It should be a high scoring game and I'm looking to get some leverage with that. Also hoping to get matched at 1.77, I reckon they will shorten right up close to the off.
Geelong by 18.
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Poor ol' North Melbourne - not a fan, but you seriously have to feel for them !
rg
rg
Hi guys.
Finished off my best season ever on AFL.
The cherry on top was the brownlow tonight.
I'm happy to share my stats on that.
Profit pre commission $485. Total matched by me on event just over $90,000.
Overall total matched on event just over $1,000,000.
So I accounted for approx 9% of the market, which seems like a lot to extract that profit but I did my best.
Finished off my best season ever on AFL.
The cherry on top was the brownlow tonight.
I'm happy to share my stats on that.
Profit pre commission $485. Total matched by me on event just over $90,000.
Overall total matched on event just over $1,000,000.
So I accounted for approx 9% of the market, which seems like a lot to extract that profit but I did my best.
Hi Gazuty,
Was that for the Brownlow outright?
I like bookmaking the brownlow groups as most of the markets stay around the 120% mark. I had visitors all weekend so I only got to the markets two hours before start, but managed to get $168 for my troubles.
Friday night was a killer though, got out in front but what could have been if he had kicked a goal and nailed the draw.
Was that for the Brownlow outright?
I like bookmaking the brownlow groups as most of the markets stay around the 120% mark. I had visitors all weekend so I only got to the markets two hours before start, but managed to get $168 for my troubles.
Friday night was a killer though, got out in front but what could have been if he had kicked a goal and nailed the draw.
Used the new feature of BA to spawn ladders from multiple markets.
Did some pre-off trading on the AFL (small green) alongside Mornington which was due off at the same time.
1 mil matched pre-off on NFL.
Liquidity on Mornington wasn't bad as I thought (around 110k pre-off).
Found it hard to keep focused on 2 markets at the same time though with open positions on both.
Did some pre-off trading on the AFL (small green) alongside Mornington which was due off at the same time.
1 mil matched pre-off on NFL.
Liquidity on Mornington wasn't bad as I thought (around 110k pre-off).
Found it hard to keep focused on 2 markets at the same time though with open positions on both.