High Net Worth dotted up last time at Dundalk over 1m3f and looks to be a likely winner of this race. There is a non-runner which could have proved a danger so the price is a bit lower as a result. You can get 2.62 at the moment and I think you may be lucky enough to get 2.66 and perhaps if the early layers get involved you may get 2.76-2.80 and then you'd have a value price.
I think this is a 2.50 chance and if there is a lack of support for Shu Lewis you may see this shrinking to ~2.30 and perhaps lower. If Shu Lewis drifts out towards 6.0-6.2 then expect the favourite to shrink. As I mentioned, the NR has scrambled the prices somewhat.
This horse travels well and prominently so should also offer a good back to lay opportunity.
Small stakes and enjoy!
JG
Dundalk 20:45 - another potential money horse
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JollyGreen
- Posts: 2047
- Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am
Well I think I must try and predict the lottery numbers while I am on a roll! The layers pushed this out to ~2.80 and then it was smashed back into 2.20 (lower at one point) before the off. I was quite happy to trade the initial move in then the drift out followed by the steam back in.
Even if you didn't catch those moves it actually went 1.33 in running! It was not a great race as they crawled for the most part and then had a sprint up the straight. This horse needs a true run race so I always find it strange when the jockey accepts his lot and lets others dictate the race for him!
Oh well it was never a gamble just a way of following the money.
JG
Even if you didn't catch those moves it actually went 1.33 in running! It was not a great race as they crawled for the most part and then had a sprint up the straight. This horse needs a true run race so I always find it strange when the jockey accepts his lot and lets others dictate the race for him!
Oh well it was never a gamble just a way of following the money.
JG
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