Despite all problems Man utd still have a good % of qualifying...
Arsenal and Man City have a bigger problem.
B. Munich to qualify 1,03 - Arsenal 27.00
Barca to qualify 1,06 - Man ciy 15.5
Man Utd to qualify 3,4 - Olympiakos 1,4
this is just average, the odds are not completed defined yet.
You can still making money out of the 1st two markets, its quite positive isn t, if you think of trading opportunitys..
Champions League 2013/14
David Moyes is now odds on to be the next manager to be sacked after a flood of money
http://www.sportinglife.com/football/ne ... r-the-sack
http://www.sportinglife.com/football/ne ... r-the-sack
Hi LeTiss,
You may be right.
Fergie got extraordinary performances out of ordinary players, whereas his rivals didn't always get extraordinary players to play extraordinarily well in recent years (although City and Chelsea seem to have sorted out their leadership-related issues).
Moyes lacks Fergie's ability to inspire or scare the United players into playing with total focus for a full 90 minutes, so we will remain an ordinary team as long as he remains manager.
Moyes also seems fond of an old-fashioned long ball game, which doesn't bode well.
Jeff
You may be right.
Fergie got extraordinary performances out of ordinary players, whereas his rivals didn't always get extraordinary players to play extraordinarily well in recent years (although City and Chelsea seem to have sorted out their leadership-related issues).
Moyes lacks Fergie's ability to inspire or scare the United players into playing with total focus for a full 90 minutes, so we will remain an ordinary team as long as he remains manager.
Moyes also seems fond of an old-fashioned long ball game, which doesn't bode well.
Jeff
LeTiss 4pm wrote:I do believe it will take at least 5 years to create a squad to challenge City, and without Champions League football, they are going to be financially under huge pressure
Has Moyes gone...social media rumours that MUFC have informed NYSE that hes been sacked.
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/02/2 ... l-consent/
UPDATE
Skybet have gone odds on
http://www1.skysports.com/football/news ... avid-moyes
not much move on betfair market
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/02/2 ... l-consent/
UPDATE
Skybet have gone odds on
http://www1.skysports.com/football/news ... avid-moyes
not much move on betfair market
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giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
Real Madrid look so strong and confident compare to last year with Mourinho.. I have really enjoyed the game....Shame I did not go, I am only 40 minutes from the stadium. 
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giulio2010
- Posts: 962
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am
That's was the idea. My friends went, i don't know though if they managed to get in...Ferru123 wrote:Would you not have needed a ticket? Or were you thinking you could have bought one from a ticket tout?giulio2010 wrote:Shame I did not go, I am only 40 minutes from the stadium.
Jeff
P.S. while I am writing this, they are showing on ZDF ( german channel) Bayern M. vs Man Utd 1999...Unbelievable hahahhah
A magical moment, but I'm not going to be putting any money on this United squad and this manager scoring two home goals against Olympiakos and not conceding anything. Just a year ago, that would have been a ridiculous statement...
Jeff
Jeff
giulio2010 wrote: P.S. while I am writing this, they are showing on ZDF ( german channel) Bayern M. vs Man Utd 1999...Unbelievable hahahhah
Chelsea vs. Galatasaray
We looked at our historical database of matches and found 121 matches that looked very similar. The market is discounting a 70.9% chance of a Chelsea win, a 10.2% chance of a Galatasaray win and a 19.6% chance of a draw. Our historical data shows that a match like this has produced, in the past, a 80.2% chance of a home win, a 8.3% chance of a away win and a 11.6% chance of a draw. This converts into odds of 1.25 12.05 & 8.62 respectively.
The market is forecasting 2.74 goals. Historically there have been 3.17 goals in similar matches according to our database. The market is pricing over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95. Historically 60.3% of similar matches ended over 2.5 goals which translates into decimal odds of 1.66. This is hinting at back value in this market.
The home team has scored at least one goal in 95% of matches. The away team has scored at least one goal in 53.7% of matches. The home team have scored two or more goals on 71.1% of occasions and three or more goals on 18.2% of occasions. The away team have scored two or more goals on 18.2% of occasions and three or more goals on 5.8% of occasions.Both teams have scored 49.59% of the time or decimal odds of 2.02
Caveat - All the historical data doesn't take account of the away goal rule, so this should explain the variance to long term results. That's were the opportunity will lay today.
Comparable recent matches with roughly similar odds: -
Home - 2012 - Arsenal vs Olympiakos - Result - 3-1
Home - 2012 - Botafogo RJ vs Atletico Go - Result - 4-0
Home - 2012 - FC Basel vs Videoton - Result - 1-0
Home - 2012 - Plzen vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - Result - 4-0
Home - 2012 - Arsenal vs Montpellier - Result - 2-0
Home - 2012 - Liverpool vs Southampton - Result - 1-0
Draw - 2012 - Inter vs Neftchi Baku - Result - 2-2
Home - 2012 - Rapid Vienna vs FC Wacker Innsbruck - Result - 2-1
Away - 2012 - Napoli vs Bologna - Result - 2-3
Draw - 2013 - Everton vs Aston Villa - Result - 3-3
Away - 2013 - Leicester vs Huddersfield - Result - 1-2
Draw - 2013 - Chelsea vs Sparta Prague - Result - 1-1
Home - 2013 - Fiorentina vs Genoa - Result - 3-2
Home - 2013 - Dortmund vs Malaga - Result - 3-2
Home - 2013 - Man City vs West Brom - Result - 1-0
We looked at our historical database of matches and found 121 matches that looked very similar. The market is discounting a 70.9% chance of a Chelsea win, a 10.2% chance of a Galatasaray win and a 19.6% chance of a draw. Our historical data shows that a match like this has produced, in the past, a 80.2% chance of a home win, a 8.3% chance of a away win and a 11.6% chance of a draw. This converts into odds of 1.25 12.05 & 8.62 respectively.
The market is forecasting 2.74 goals. Historically there have been 3.17 goals in similar matches according to our database. The market is pricing over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95. Historically 60.3% of similar matches ended over 2.5 goals which translates into decimal odds of 1.66. This is hinting at back value in this market.
The home team has scored at least one goal in 95% of matches. The away team has scored at least one goal in 53.7% of matches. The home team have scored two or more goals on 71.1% of occasions and three or more goals on 18.2% of occasions. The away team have scored two or more goals on 18.2% of occasions and three or more goals on 5.8% of occasions.Both teams have scored 49.59% of the time or decimal odds of 2.02
Caveat - All the historical data doesn't take account of the away goal rule, so this should explain the variance to long term results. That's were the opportunity will lay today.
Comparable recent matches with roughly similar odds: -
Home - 2012 - Arsenal vs Olympiakos - Result - 3-1
Home - 2012 - Botafogo RJ vs Atletico Go - Result - 4-0
Home - 2012 - FC Basel vs Videoton - Result - 1-0
Home - 2012 - Plzen vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - Result - 4-0
Home - 2012 - Arsenal vs Montpellier - Result - 2-0
Home - 2012 - Liverpool vs Southampton - Result - 1-0
Draw - 2012 - Inter vs Neftchi Baku - Result - 2-2
Home - 2012 - Rapid Vienna vs FC Wacker Innsbruck - Result - 2-1
Away - 2012 - Napoli vs Bologna - Result - 2-3
Draw - 2013 - Everton vs Aston Villa - Result - 3-3
Away - 2013 - Leicester vs Huddersfield - Result - 1-2
Draw - 2013 - Chelsea vs Sparta Prague - Result - 1-1
Home - 2013 - Fiorentina vs Genoa - Result - 3-2
Home - 2013 - Dortmund vs Malaga - Result - 3-2
Home - 2013 - Man City vs West Brom - Result - 1-0
