Nice soccer picks and analysis

[johan77]

Another succesfull day behind us with Nice winning against Guingamp..let's hope Goteborg will do the same today Cheers

KALMAR - GOTEBORG
Although Kalmar are playing a solid game recently, I am not convinced that they will be able to parry their guest neither in quality not in motivation. The Kalmar defense, as mentioned in the preview, looks very stable at the moment, but that has a lot to do with the schedule they've been having. They played rather more defensive teams in their last five games, such as Gefle, AIK, Halmstads, and it's no wonder they managed to keep their net intact. That will definitely be much more difficult against a team such as Goteborg, which they've already proven earlier against Malmo, who loaded them up with four goals. Goteborg are in dire need of points at the moment, and cannot afford a fumble here. They are one of the teams with the best form in the championship at the moment, I'd even dare say the most impressive, looking at their results. Against the opponents Kalmar got one point from, playing no-goal ties (Gefle, AIK, Atvidabergs), Goteborg scored high wins and it is hard to say which part of their game is more impressive - the killer offense or the tough, impenetrable defense. Aside from that, the home team will again be missing their best midfielder and offense player Soderqvist, which makes it difficult for them to strike back. Anything other than Goteborg winning this, as currently the better and more motivated team, would be a surprise
Bet: 2
Odds: 2.10
BOL

[johan77]

ZENIT vs AUSTIA VIENNA
Zenit has excellent attacking skills, they have the creativity and great finishing. In last three games in domestic championship theyve scored 12 goals and their average this season is more than 3 per match!! They have almost none problems with absences, only Sirokov has minor injury and might be spared for this match.

Austria showed some solid performances recently but it was mainly due to home turf and their away form is not that impressive. They are the weakest of all opponents in group G and since the others (Porto, Zenit and Atletico) are more or less even team it will be very significant for them to get past Austria with ease.
Moreover team from Austria couldnt even handle the pressure in their championship, losing two games in a row and according to Betprepare theyll be seriously weakened by the injuries of Stankovic and Rogulj, two first-team players, as well as Gorgon, Grunwald and Dilaver.
Even if Austria was to come with full squad it would be a surprise if they managed to avoid serious defeat here in Russia and with these absences it will be even harder for them.

Bet: -1,5 handicap
Tip: 1
Odds: 1.75
Cheers

[giulio2010]

Zenit st P. vs Austria Vienna HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £6,6 gross return
Steaua Bucarest vs Chelsea AW+Draw
£100 investiment, £20 gross return

Porto vs Atlethico Madrid HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £52 gross return
on the same game AW+Draw, £52 gross return
and again HW+AW ( laying the draw), 43 gross return

Fc Basel vs Shalke HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £57 gross return
Ajax vs Ac Milan HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £57 gross return
Dortmund vs Marseille HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £9 gross return
Celtic vs Barcelona, AW+Draw
£100 investiment, £11 gross return

Arsenal vs Napoli, HW+Draw
£100 investiment, £30 gross return
on the same game AW+Draw, £100 gross return
and again HW+AW ( laying the draw )£34 gross return.

I am going to go with Porto vs Atl. Madrid HW+Draw
52% return
Celtic vs Barcelona AW+Draw 11% return

Good luck all!

[giulio2010]

I am going to go with Porto vs Atl. Madrid HW+Draw
52% return
Celtic vs Barcelona AW+Draw 11% return

Porto despite losing 1-2 it did end up as a winning bet. Porto 1st goal and atl. Madrid second goal at the 87th minute did the job for me!

[johan77]

Unlucky there with Zenit getting a red card :/

CHERNOMORETS ODESSA - PSV
I expect both teams here to be primarily focused on tight defense and this is why. For Odessa it’s their style of play, especially when they host big names like PSV today. Besides that they’ve got all three points in Zagreb and a draw here against one of the group favorites would suit them more than well.
Odessa’s defense line is also impressive, in last five games on home turf they’ve allowed only one goal and this season no one was able to outclass them.
On the other hand PSV will be focused not to lose today and coach Cocu prepared a tight, defensive lineup 4-2-3-1 with only one striker up front. The main reason for are absences of captain and first goalscorer Wijnaldum and important striker Park who are both missing this match as well as some defensive players so they decided to bring more stability to defense.
I don’t expect too much goals today and the goal margin should stay under 2,5 goals.
Bet: Under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.85
BOL

[johan77]

MLS Houston Dynamo - Kansas City
Kansas won against Columbus with referee help and luck, but they did not look as good as in their previous few matches. Their front line is obviously shaken after they sold Kamara and coach Vermes is rotating a lot and trying different trios, but he still has not found a solution. Their defense and midfield are without best players Zusi and Besler (players that take all set pieces) so I do not see a phase of this match in which they could be better than their hosts who started playing better, are rested and have more players at their disposal.
Home team win is a good option, as is that Kansas will not score a goal. But since the visiting team will not take any risk until they find themselves chasing the score, I recommend higher stake on a match without a draw. I think that the visiting team win, if there is no red cards and if some crazy situations do not develop during the match, is highly unlikely.


Bet: Draw no bet
Tip: 1
Odds: 1.70

[johan77]

Last one was a push..no money lost but now it's time to earn some

U21 DENMARK – U21 SLOVENIA (Pick from Betprepare)

Denmark and Slovenia showed that they want to play attractive football in their previous matches and I expect a similar approach by both teams today. Also, both teams played against a very solid Estonia under the margin, while the other two games they played went over the margin of goals scored. The home team can't count on their captain Vestergaard, which is a serious blow for their backline and I believe that the Slovenians can cause a lot of problems today. On the other hand the Danes will be boosted by the return of the excellent striker Falk, who already played for the senior national team and will make their attack even stronger.
I believe that the right bet would be over on goals scored because a tie is not an option for both teams, who have been scoring a lot of goals lately and playing good attacking football.

Bet: Over 2,5 Goals
Odds: 1.80
Good luck if you are following

[johan77]

Yesterday was nice for us..U21's scored four goals total taking us over the margin of 2,5 goals Hope Murcia can make us some money too with help of betprepare info

MURCIA – GIRONA

In an interesting match played in Jaen, not even two penalty kicks were enough for Murcia to break the hosts and extend their positive run, which ended after six games without a defeat. Their last loss before that one came at the outset of the season to current leaders Recreativo. Judging by that, this new defeat shouldn't disrupt the cogs in Murcia's machine, and we'll probably see them back to their normal selves in today's match. They will certainly not lack for motivation. Girona took seven points in its last three visits to the Nueva Condomina, but Murcia wasn't as good as it currently is, and now they are looking for payback. The fact that they are at full-strength for this match will help them achieve that and win another three points. Namely, coach Velasquez now faces a challenge of picking the first eleven from a number of quality players as the last absentee, midfielder Tete, returned into contention getting in from the bench in the last game.
In the last week's derby Girona managed to win only one point. A small consolation for them, given that they won this point after two consecutive losses. Something is off on the pitch lately and coach Rodriguez is very much aware of that. Some changes are unavoidable as they are now far from the top of the table where they are planning to be in the end. Midfielder Timor, one of their best players, is still out, as well as defender Lopez.

Bet: 1 (Home win)
Odds: 2.30 (Pinnacle)
GL mates

[Shamrock]

Nice pick Johan, watching from Australia and I keep missing them, caught this last night.
Cheers.

[johan77]

Been away on a little trip but got back right in time for Champions League Here's one Betprepare pick..seems like a very good option to me. What's your opinion? Cheers!

PORTO - ZENIT
Porto are almost always the favorites at their own stadium, but rating them at such ridiculous odds is going too far in my opinion. Zenit are playing some amazing football, they are stronger than ever, literally steamrolling over their competition in Russia, and only bad luck and referees' mistakes prevented them from getting more points in the Champions League. Even though Spalletti says this isn't necessarily a critical game, we need to be realistic and say that this is a do or die match for them. Not many would put pressure on an in-form team ahead of an important match, and Spalletti's statements are logical attempts to reduce it, as he believes his team can achieve their goal if they keep playing at their best. The only mitigating circumstance for them could be if Atletico secure their progress already after four games (which is very likely, as they have two games against Austria) and go into the fifth at Petrovsky with some reservations. But Zenit can in no way rely on that, especially as this would give Porto the same advantage in their sixth game away at Calderon. Therefore, Zenit must not lose today. Reasons to believe in Zenit's positive outcome are aplenty, and the potential key figure for many in this match is Hulk, who is in top form and he could easily wreak havoc in Porto's defense, which he knows very well. Even though I'm deeply convinced that Zenit will leave Portugal undefeated, due to excellent odds and Witsel's absence I will go for a more conservative option in the form of a +1 handicap, which would see our stake return if Porto win by one goal. I expected these odds on x2.

Bet: Handicap -1
Tip: 2
Odds: 1.88

BOL

[johan77]

GENK –RAPID

Belgian Genk are in top form, both in their national championship and in Euroleague.Today they have a great chance to settle the issue of getting through the group after only three rounds, which will then enable them to turn their attention to the championship and further advance in ranking there. Rapid Vienna, a team with lots of ups and downs this season, are in their way. They are in constant trouble this season, conceding naive goals and getting injuries of their main players. Those details might be a big strength for Genk, who are unforgiving in their own stadium lately, and Rapid will hardly be an exception.
The home team will surely be in the offensive mood, trying to quickly score and break through the solid bunker of the Vienna team. Should they manage to succeed, they will have a much easier job in the rest of the game. Genk are technically a better team than Rapid, all their midfielders and forwards are individually strong on the offense, while with Burgstaller and the long injured Alar missing for Rapid the only creative force remaining is 34-year-old captain Hofmann. That would not suffice to parry Genk even in a home game, let alone away. This match smells like Genk dominating, with Rapid trying to defend and score from fast counterattacks. However, with all the weaknesses the Vienna team defense have displayed this year, the home team have a much better chance of achieving their goals and reaching a third consecutive victory that will verify their superiority in this group.

Bet: 1
Odds: 1.74 (Marathon)

[CaerMyrddin]

Maybe not the best thread, but Benfica is likely to field a team full of young players from the B team. Enjoy.

[giulio2010]

Maybe not the best thread, but Benfica is likely to field a team full of young players from the B team. Enjoy.

I hope they don't cry like the A team!!!!
Michel Platini wants us to lose::::

[CaerMyrddin]

And I hope you weren't backing Juve to qualify

[giulio2010]

I have no accounts to back anyteams..Lucky me I saved some money. I still don't have a betfair account yet.
Good luck for the final. Last year you deserved it and lost. I hope this year, you dont deserve it and win.

And I hope you weren't backing Juve to qualify