I looked at this race because I could not believe my eyes when I saw the price of Sherman McCoy! I did the analysis and then just as I finished I noticed the horse I would choose - only if someone put a gun to my head - was Incendo and he is now a non-runner. This leaves the race open for Sherman McCoy as I do not see anything else having a chance. Samoan couldn't win if it started now, neither could Born to Shine! Watch them finish 1st and 2nd now! English Summer is also highly dubious as he's clearly had an injury of some kind. It is 272 days since his last run and his best days seem to be a distant memory.
I scored the race using a new system I am testing and the results are shown below. With Incendo out it looks like Sherman McCoy has the race at his mercy. He's the only front runner in the race so a BTL strategy should work despite his price being low at 1.70

