Champions League 2014/15

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giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

All the teams in the red circle may take the win tonight but, the starting odds seems to short in my opinion for all 3 favorites.
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indycar
Posts: 11
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2013 10:41 am

Empty stadium at CSKA. I think this will help Bayern, so price is a fair reflection.
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Goal ratings for this today's matches, ranked from most goals to least. We reckon there will be around 21 goals today - an average of 2.65 per match.

3.35 : Schalke vs. NK Maribor
3.29 : CSKA Moscow vs. B Munich
3.19 : Man City vs. Roma
2.94 : Paris St-G vs. Barcelona
2.76 : Sp Lisbon vs. Chelsea
2.68 : APOEL vs. Ajax
2.68 : BATE Borisov vs. Ath Bilbao
2.59 : Shakhtar vs. Porto
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Bayern Munich are dominating in possession 74% but as for goals opportunitys could, the match, easily be on 2-2.
The only chance Cska Moscow had to keep the result on 0-0 was on the 1st half I guess. Well lets see if they can produce some good football on the second half and score perhaps..
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Euler was right about the fair reflection of Cska Moscow vs Bayern Munich but, I was not willing to pay 1.37 for this Bayern Munich. Perhaps from 1.5 and on.
I watched the game, outstanding ball possession but only got 3 points thanks to a penalty and against a such poor Cska Moscow.
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

City game is very open already
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Surely heading for overs this one?
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

At least I was right on the other two games! ;)
As for Man city vs Roma it's a tough call now.
City looks more costant, good ball possession and a pragmatic attacking game, Roma looks very dangerous on the counterattack and seems a bit fresher and faster then city.
Over? I would take 1.3-1.4 on over 2.5 and 2.5-2.7 on over 3.5.
good luck!
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Roma look happy with a point
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Man City was unlucky not to take 3 points, Roma in the other hand was quite happy to kill the game and take the point. good game Btw.
The other interesting game was shaktar vs porto 2-0 almost in the end.... Full time 2-2 WOW :o
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BJGardner
Posts: 312
Joined: Thu Jan 31, 2013 11:09 am

:(
Euler wrote:Surely heading for overs this one?
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Much prefer the knockout stages!
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

I am seeking for an advice if possible. I don't have much aknoledge about the 0.5 under/over market so I am wondering at what minute the market 0.5 of ludogorets vs Real Madrid can drift to 1.06.
Real madrid is a scoring machine ofc but I am tempt to lay the 0.5 at 1.02 if there was a chance of the odds drifting at 1.05-1.06 at 10th 12th minute of the game.
Here the graph example. All advices are welcome, thank you in advance.
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Dublin_Flyer
Posts: 846
Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2012 10:39 am

I tried to have a look with mystic although I'm not too familiar with using it. Around 17-20 mins mark seems to drift towards your target. So far in the league the first goal in Reals games has been 30, 5, 10, 28, 15 and 32. Conveniently an average of 20 minutes!
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