I know I am early, but the liquidity on recent by-elections + the outstanding Scottish Independence vote shows Political markets are great trading fodder.
I am drawn to the 'most seats' market
This of course does not mean an overall majority, but simply most seats won
2010
Conservatives 307
Labour 258
Lib Dems 57
Greens 1
Others 27
It's interesting to note Labour are trading at below Evens to win most seats. I think that's a good lay, as Miliband is an absolute knob. Already the vultures within his own party are circling, and last night he got torn to pieces by a bird from Hear'Say
It goes without saying that UKIP are changing the picture, but the nearer it gets and people start to realise Ed Miliband could be Prime Minister......the more attractive that lay of 1.95 looks
2015 UK General Election
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Interesting that today's market has labour at a lay of 1.9 I might join you on this position as I too think Milliband will not be PM or in fact the leader of labour at the election in May, I really hope that Ed Balls gets the job as i like him even less than Milliband.LeTiss 4pm wrote:I know I am early, but the liquidity on recent by-elections + the outstanding Scottish Independence vote shows Political markets are great trading fodder.
I am drawn to the 'most seats' market
This of course does not mean an overall majority, but simply most seats won
2010
Conservatives 307
Labour 258
Lib Dems 57
Greens 1
Others 27
It's interesting to note Labour are trading at below Evens to win most seats. I think that's a good lay, as Miliband is an absolute knob. Already the vultures within his own party are circling, and last night he got torn to pieces by a bird from Hear'Say
It goes without saying that UKIP are changing the picture, but the nearer it gets and people start to realise Ed Miliband could be Prime Minister......the more attractive that lay of 1.95 looks
I love the mansion tax idea lets alienate the guys that make the money... put up income tax etc etc bound to be a sure fire vote winner, what fun now the campaign really starts to hot up in the new year..
groovy
Interesting question time last night
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-30441293
My big fear is that the electorate is missing the point. The (world) economy is still in a perilous place propped up by cheap money and yet the biggest debating point seems to be immigration?
Parties should be campaigning on how aggressively they are going to sort out the economic problems and start raising interest rates back to normal levels, but that appears to be a sideshow.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-30441293
My big fear is that the electorate is missing the point. The (world) economy is still in a perilous place propped up by cheap money and yet the biggest debating point seems to be immigration?
Parties should be campaigning on how aggressively they are going to sort out the economic problems and start raising interest rates back to normal levels, but that appears to be a sideshow.
Parties should be campaigning on how aggressively they are going to sort out the economic problems and start raising interest rates back to normal levels, but that appears to be a sideshow.
Its wierd how parties will panda to the grey vote (who I assume a greater proportion of have paid off their mortgage and have some investment income or money put aside in an account somewhere) on lots of things, but promising higher interest rates is seen as political suicide.
After the dreadful scenes in France it looks like immigration will be a hot topic for sure in the election. I think people are completely fed up with this sort of stuff now.
Only parties with very hard lines will gain votes at the election.
Only parties with very hard lines will gain votes at the election.
Betfair have done a nice job on the General election page: -
http://www.betfairpredicts.com/?mpch=ads
http://www.betfairpredicts.com/?mpch=ads