Today's Horse Racing
- Crazyskier
- Posts: 1301
- Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm
[/quote][/quote]convoysur-2 wrote: simple 4 horse race at kempton tonight 6.50,the fav went off at just above evens 2.08..the stats on favs winning this race are 31% ,so in my view the fav was too short and was a value lay,so i laid him.
Surely that 31% figure is for ALL favourites, regardless of SP? Surely favourites that have an SP around or below evens have a HIGHER % WIN RATE. Just my tuppeny worth

-
- Posts: 877
- Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2015 6:47 pm
Backed to lay Durban Gold (4.15 kelso) at about 34.0 drifts out to 50.0 red out.
Wins with lengths to spare - I hate those ones.
Wins with lengths to spare - I hate those ones.

-
- Posts: 211
- Joined: Thu Jan 14, 2016 4:06 pm
What a day of halves.Dallas wrote:Without running the risk of jinking things for the last few races today has been one of the better mid week days for a while with plenty of good moves for a change
Boring first
Some good move in the seconds half.
-
- Posts: 4619
- Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm
I am confused, were you backing it as a straight bet intention or as a trade?stueytrader wrote:Backed to lay Durban Gold (4.15 kelso) at about 34.0 drifts out to 50.0 red out.
Wins with lengths to spare - I hate those ones.
If a bet surely you would have had more on at 50.0 if you thought it value at 34.0 as opposed to exiting your bet for a guaranteed loss?
Alternatively if it was a pre-race trade the result is meaningless to you as you were trading the price action.
If you were trading it as a back to lay ir then why bail pre-race?
-
- Posts: 1110
- Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am
buddy -stueytrader wrote:Backed to lay Durban Gold (4.15 kelso) at about 34.0 drifts out to 50.0 red out.
Wins with lengths to spare - I hate those ones.
when you make the decission to put your money in the market on back to lay,you have already decided that its a good trade,
never never never trade out ,because just by default if your selection just stays,by default as the others start to hit 700-1000 the book has to contract. even if he is third and dont look like winning you will are likely to get matched.
let me tell you how it all changed for me along time ago.
someone asked me to share my back to lay with him ,i did one day,i was reding out and made no money that day.
the next day i tuned on my pc i had a paypal money sent to me for 70 quid ,and an email he told me how happy he was that he made 700 quid and his betfair account was at 1000 quid for the first time. we did the same selections ,but he stayed in the market ,every one was matched ,from that day till now i never trade out .when you place the back and keep your lays inplay .sit on your hands,
Marc
-
- Posts: 1110
- Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am
nice for some one..
winner
winner
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-
- Posts: 1110
- Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am
another 5 mins,,hes jumping with joy all around the house at the minuitemarko236 wrote:Peterle, will be on in a minute
Either that or he's sat in his fav traffic jam on M6 and other motorists are wondering why his car is rockingconvoysur-2 wrote:another 5 mins,,hes jumping with joy all around the house at the minuitemarko236 wrote:Peterle, will be on in a minute
