US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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tadasbel
Posts: 35
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 12:21 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ts22hvz ... e=youtu.be

Was prediction in September. I think worth watching
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

There were a few smart commentators that pretty much called this. They said Trump could very likely surge into the lead, give a speech declaring victory and then get pegged back by the mail in ballots.

Whatever happens now the fallout could be huge.
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auto-matt
Posts: 136
Joined: Sun Jul 07, 2019 4:58 pm

Fastest finger first on the result at Wisconsin😂
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Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Rapid gap closing in Michigan!
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spreadbetting
Posts: 3140
Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

What range did Trump trade last night, the Betfair graphs aren't timed but looks like he went 1.4ish as I'm sure he was in the 3's sometime last night
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Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Didn't Trump go down to 1.24?
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Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Emmson wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:29 am
 Didn't Trump go down to 1.24?
YES at 3.06am
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Dallas
Posts: 23532
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

spreadbetting wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:27 am
 What range did Trump trade last night, the Betfair graphs aren't timed but looks like he went 1.4ish as I'm sure he was in the 3's sometime last night
Between 1.25 and 3.6
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spreadbetting
Posts: 3140
Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

Dallas wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:40 am
spreadbetting wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:27 am
 What range did Trump trade last night, the Betfair graphs aren't timed but looks like he went 1.4ish as I'm sure he was in the 3's sometime last night
Between 1.25 and 3.6
Wish I'd stayed up now
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Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Barring legal shenanigans Old Joe has got this. What a roller coaster!
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Euler
Posts: 26365
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Emmson wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:56 am
 Barring legal shenanigans Old Joe has got this. What a roller coaster!
Probably a few twists in the tail just yet
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Prices are pretty much back to where they started yesterday
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tadasbel
Posts: 35
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 12:21 am

Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:00 pm
 Prices are pretty much back to where they started yesterday
Some regression to the mean :))
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Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

2 candidates have traded below 2 (with lows of 1.24 and 1.41)
4 candidates have traded 3 or less
6 candidates have traded 4 or less
6 candidates have traded 5 or less
7 candidates have traded 6 or less
8 candidates have traded 7 or less
8 candidates have traded 8 or less
12 candidates have traded 9 or less
13 candidates have traded 10 or less
Dallas has created plenty of files to deal with this sort of market.
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LinusP
Posts: 1917
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

Here is some data for the market over the past month:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/zy7yc6erevwyj ... v.zip?dl=0
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