Could I Be A Football Trading Savant But Still Lose Money?

[JustLukeYou]

Hi,

Yes I have heard of him recently. He seems to make extreme amounts. Sometimes £14k from one match.

[rik]

It's as if I am sat here predicting the future but not totally sure how to profit from it.

Anyone else experienced this?

you seem to have mastered the hard part, once you know whats happening you press back or lay, bit of experience you will find the buttons

[Dave C]

I think the OP was saying that by watching the match he had a good feel if there was going to be more goals but you sarcy gits knew this.

I turned on the Liverpool/Salzburg game the other night at 3-3 and I "knew" that Salzburg weren't going to get another by how Liverpool were managing the game. The same way that I "knew" that Bayern Munich would score against Spurs at least once when they were 1-0 down. Of course game flow changes.

I believe Psychoff trades like this and overall does rather well.

[Derek27]

I think the OP was saying that by watching the match he had a good feel if there was going to be more goals but you sarcy gits knew this.

I turned on the Liverpool/Salzburg game the other night at 3-3 and I "knew" that Salzburg weren't going to get another by how Liverpool were managing the game. The same way that I "knew" that Bayern Munich would score against Spurs at least once when they were 1-0 down. Of course game flow changes.

I believe Psychoff trades like this and overall does rather well.

If that's what the OP meant my answer would be that you cannot profit from having a good feel for more goals, it's judgement of probability of goals that count.

It's quite common for people to use the words 'think' and 'know' interchangeably. It's also common for people to mistake the former for the latter after the event, which judging by the question in the thread title and the circles the OP has been running round in, is probably the case.

[ShaunWhite]

I believe Psychoff trades like this and overall does rather well.

I think you're doing Psychoff a huge disservice. He'll know how likely it is that he's right in any given situation and the potential upside and downside. You don't make telephone numbers by thinking team X look handy so I'll stick a tenner on them, until you've done it for 1000s of games and the whole process becomes instinctive. The masters make the incredibly difficult look incredibly easy and that's why 95% of people who try, fail.

[Dave C]

Ha Shaun I was massively simplifying his MO, I know that. I was just trying to provide a little balance for the OP instead of haughtily putting him down.