Today's Horse Racing
- jamesedwards
- Posts: 4346
- Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm
If you are losing by less than [commission paid + the average spread] then you are beating the odds and therefore getting closer to profitability.
This may sound overly simplistic, but make sure you thoroughly investigate each of these separately;
> How can I increase the amount of times that I win?
> How can I increase the average value of each win?
> How can I decrease the amount of times that I lose?
> How can I decrease the average value of each loss?
- jamesedwards
- Posts: 4346
- Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Down Royal 17:54.
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Thanks James.jamesedwards wrote: ↑Fri Sep 05, 2025 3:21 pmIf you are losing by less than [commission paid + the average spread] then you are beating the odds and therefore getting closer to profitability.
This may sound overly simplistic, but make sure you thoroughly investigate each of these separately;
> How can I increase the amount of times that I win?
> How can I increase the average value of each win?
> How can I decrease the amount of times that I lose?
> How can I decrease the average value of each loss?
Im going to work through things for another week and then report back with some data. I’ve had my head down and made some tools but need to push it to the next level… my bank it’s currently
Going sideways really… doesn’t go up or down… which is annoying! But least were near À 50 percentile mark
- ForFolksSake
- Posts: 926
- Joined: Sat May 11, 2024 2:51 pm
... it's impossible to run out of ideasI'm running out of ideas!
How often you need to win depends on your strategyI'm now winning 40% of the time
eg if 'backing' 1000/1 shots is your strategy then you need to win 2N / 1001 times out of N bets to double your money
eg if 'backing' 1.01 shots then you need to win about 70 bets at 1.01 odds to double your money.