Maria's Laying system

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Euler
Posts: 26363
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

MemphisFlash wrote:
Sun Oct 13, 2019 8:55 pm
i have the forum thread in a PDF if anyone interested
I'm interested in analysing it so if you have the pdf that would help.
Atho55
Posts: 678
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2015 1:37 pm

This is a Maria esque spreadsheet that will increase or decrease your stake by a % of the bank that can be defined to an odds range that can also be defined.

Add data in the columns identified with the Green Header and "Here"

The chart gives you a visual position of how you are doing.


Maria Lay Spreadsheet.xlsx
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Atho55 wrote:
Wed Oct 16, 2019 6:22 pm
This is a Maria esque spreadsheet that will increase or decrease your stake by a % of the bank that can be defined to an odds range that can also be defined.

Add data in the columns identified with the Green Header and "Here"

The chart gives you a visual position of how you are doing.



Maria Lay Spreadsheet.xlsx
Thanks for this, its has more uses than just face value.
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Euler
Posts: 26363
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

I think the staking is flawed here though? You should stake to a fixed return and variable liability or vice versa as your edge will appear as profit when you do that. But if you use an arbitrary stake you will never really know in a progressive way whether you can raise your stake?
Atho55
Posts: 678
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2015 1:37 pm

Your stake will rise or fall automatically as your bank increases or decreases, if it`s rising your bank must be rising surely a sign that your system is working.

Feel free to make the changes.... It might take me a while to get my head round it
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Euler
Posts: 26363
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

The spreadsheet is fine and matches the system, I was just querying the system?

I started doing outright bets in 2011 on racing to generate commission for premium charge but quickly figured out I was capturing value. So I had to work out how to scale that without distorting the returns and skewing my results. A % of balance by decimal odds wasn't the way I did it.
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Euler wrote:
Wed Oct 16, 2019 7:10 pm
I started doing outright bets in 2011 on racing to generate commission for premium charge but quickly figured out I was capturing value. So I had to work out how to scale that without distorting the returns and skewing my results.
LOL Sometimes its just one problem after another!
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3559
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Atho55 wrote:
Wed Oct 16, 2019 6:22 pm
This is a Maria esque spreadsheet that will increase or decrease your stake by a % of the bank that can be defined to an odds range that can also be defined.

Add data in the columns identified with the Green Header and "Here"

The chart gives you a visual position of how you are doing.



Maria Lay Spreadsheet.xlsx
Nice one.
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3321
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

spock wrote:
Tue Oct 15, 2019 4:01 pm
I don't know where the idea that Maria might be Adrian Massey comes from. :mrgreen:
I was a keen Adrian follower before he had his break and thanks to some systems I developed to filter his ratings I was very happy, thank you Adrian. Maria (if it was the same Maria) was very active on his forum and when Adrian took his break she was involved in keeping his web forum going and I think she was involved in some other areas but it was a long time ago. But I can remember Adrian trying his hand at laying and on the first day he published his selections and had 2 selections go against him at odds of around 7 or 8 and he immediately declared that laying was not for him!
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