Australian Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

TipTopTrader wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 5:37 am
Did you see the 10k lay getting pushed up on Paperboy in race 3 at Pakenham, he got a fair bit of it matched at a higher price.
but how to know if its value betting against these guys, should be a reason for them to bet that big, maybe they have insider information, or could be a winning punter that just looking to get a lot on, or just someone with a lot of money...
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Naffman
Posts: 5977
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

rik wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:04 am
TipTopTrader wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 5:37 am
Did you see the 10k lay getting pushed up on Paperboy in race 3 at Pakenham, he got a fair bit of it matched at a higher price.
but how to know if its value betting against these guys, should be a reason for them to bet that big, maybe they have insider information, or could be a winning punter that just looking to get a lot on, or just someone with a lot of money...
But to happen at post time and be that stupid to use your full stake and just keep pushing it up doesn't scream being clever
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

Naffman wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:16 am
rik wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:04 am
TipTopTrader wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 5:37 am
Did you see the 10k lay getting pushed up on Paperboy in race 3 at Pakenham, he got a fair bit of it matched at a higher price.
but how to know if its value betting against these guys, should be a reason for them to bet that big, maybe they have insider information, or could be a winning punter that just looking to get a lot on, or just someone with a lot of money...
But to happen at post time and be that stupid to use your full stake and just keep pushing it up doesn't scream being clever

didnt watch the market to be fair, if hes taking stupid odds probably not a smart punter but could still be a connection knowing something not well with the horse
your having long term success going against these guys pushing the price out with big amounts?: i notice it happen more frequently in greyhounds than horse racing but not sure if to go against it
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

Some of the Corp's had it sp at 6 and top was 8
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Naffman
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TipTopTrader wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:28 am
Some of the Corp's had it sp at 6 and top was 8
Betfair SP was somewhere around 3.6 and top corp. price was $3.2, top tote $2.8
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

seems pretty standard difference between tote fixed and betfair
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Naffman
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rik wrote:
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:39 am
seems pretty standard difference between tote fixed and betfair
That was the top, average was $2.93 - pushed out too by that bet
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

how can you tell what exactly the average matched price was?
TipTopTrader
Posts: 465
Joined: Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:29 pm

I was refering to the price on the big difter Exotic Ruby, the graph that you posted. I checked the sp again on the Aussie corps and Palmer bet had it starting at 4.8, and top price was 8.
sa7med
Posts: 800
Joined: Thu May 18, 2017 8:01 am

did anyone see what happened in the 1215? Looked like it went inplay early?
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I've just got 7 NSW tokens left. :shock:
eightbo
Posts: 2263
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 8:19 pm

just do randwick r1-r7
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Derek27
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eightbo wrote:
Sat Aug 03, 2019 2:46 am
just do randwick r1-r7
Ahhhhhhhhh! :o :o :shock:

Just realised it's 4, not 7. Now it 3 after R1 - fuck knows what I was doing with them midweek, I didn't make much!
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PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

WTF is going on with Gold Coast R1 - not a clue what my position is. Think I have a bet that was set to take SP when the horse was withdrawn but now the bet has vanished so not sure if it is going to take SP or if it was just cancelled. :shock:
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

PDC wrote:
Sat Aug 03, 2019 3:14 am
WTF is going on with Gold Coast R1 - not a clue what my position is. Think I have a bet that was set to take SP when the horse was withdrawn but now the bet has vanished so not sure if it is going to take SP or if it was just cancelled. :shock:
Not sure about BA but they vanish on my trading software (until the race is off) but they are listed on the Betfair site as 'take SP' bets.
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